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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (60711)1/23/2001 11:18:39 AM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
EIX and PCG look like they want to go bankrupt tomorrow.... -ng-



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (60711)1/23/2001 11:21:01 AM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
VIX is collapsing... not bearish



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (60711)1/23/2001 6:55:22 PM
From: KyrosL  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Heinz, in the thirties gold was money. Therefore, it protected against deflation by definition. Now, gold is largely demonetized. Therefore, I think, its deflation protection is almost non-existent. I think the best protection against deflation is being debt-free and having a substantial portion of your assets in cash equivalents.

I bought gold stocks as a hedge for three reasons. One, the dollar is overvalued, given the massive US trade deficit, so gold stocks act as a currency hedge. Two, the Fed will respond to the deflationary threat of the massive consumer and company credit expansion with a massive reflationary effort that has the potential of triggering inflation, and gold stocks are as good an inflation protection as any. Three, the OPEC energy producers are now in the driver's seat, largely because they are very close to their production capacity limits, so energy prices will be steadily trending up, and this will exacerbate reasons one and two.