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To: Eric L who wrote (38502)	1/26/2001 9:37:35 PM
From: The Verve	Respond to of 54805

Eric, Thank you for your response. Seems there exists a lot of unknown variables about these umts networks. If, when, what quantity...why can't there be simple black and white answers. :o) I'm trying my best to grasp it all. As soon as one answer appears, another question arises to replace it. CDG is forecasting CDMA as the dominant air interface after 2005. Perhaps. I went to the CDG site and couldn't find any link to their forecast. Do you have a url you could share? Thanks. (and thanks again for your always helpful and generous responses) tv

To: Eric L who wrote (38502)	1/26/2001 10:38:05 PM
From: foundation	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 54805

"..What he didn't say is that GPRS quantities will dwarf 1X phone quantities.." ----------- Lots of projections are constructed on GPRS. I've considered GPRS an inevitable step in GSM evolution. I'm re-evaluating that premise at present. I've seen no confirmation that anyone can make handsets work. They were to be available in quantity Christmas 2000. Then they were to be available spring 2001. Now the word is that they should be available Christmas 2001. But I've read that this is too optimistic, and Spring 2002 is more realistic. Lots of talk. Lots of assuring. Lots of smoke. No handsets. It's easy to speculate where problems exist - speed, heat, energy. Will a 14kbs GPRS handset - if they can make that function - be a success? How are European Operators responding - behind the scenes - with their 3G spectrum sitting on the shelf? On faith, Operators have spent on upgrades to base stations - but the upgrades weren't costly - a reasonable gamble under the circumstances. I doubt, at this interval, that I'm the only one questioning prospects. <g> Why do we accept that GPRS will function at all? Must we rely on "confidence" - on faith? Does it betray a fundamental ignorance to question its historic inevitability? Why have we accepted GPRS as integral to the calculus? Lots of talk. Lots of assuring. Lots of smoke. Where's proof - where's confirmation? Anyone? ben