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To: Boplicity who wrote (9385)1/27/2001 3:16:34 PM
From: bela_ghoulashi  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13572
 
The advance-decline line is reality

[From Yahoo]

rckolon
(50/M) 1/26/01 4:11 pm
The number of stocks up one day minus the number of stocks down that same day. Keep a running sum of the difference and plot it.

stockcharts.com

stockcharts.com

That's the advance-decline line. When it goes up, that means stocks in general are going up. When it points down, that means stocks in general are going down.

When the indexes don't agree with the advance-decline line direction, we are operating under an illusion. That happens often enough. We need to figure out what that illusion is, when these divergences occur.

Right now, the reality is stocks are going up by the a-d line. See the links.

So if it looks like gloom and doom is keeping stocks depressed, that must be an illusion! This illusion has been happening for about two months. I estimate that a big illusion's lifespan is about 6 months. So we'll probably keep hearing about the economy collapsing (ahem) for several more months. But the reality is STOCKS ARE GOING UP NOW.

It's time to understand the photograph, not the illusion.

Rich

clubs.yahoo.com



To: Boplicity who wrote (9385)1/28/2001 10:03:47 AM
From: Clappy  Respond to of 13572
 
You have some good thoughts there Greg.

In regards to the internet being a full-motion-clickable/voice-activated-fluid entity, I've been trying to figure which companies stand to make the greatest strides in the near future.
Several of the areas in bandwidth, storewidth, and B2B that you mentioned have already been showing tornado like growth.
Where will the next growth spurt come from?

I've been trying to figure who is going to provide the means to capitalize off of the massive, newly enhanced, streaming data soon to be unleashed?

The way I see it, those content providers need to find a way to protect themselves from the sharing of that data like it is being shared within Napster's network.

If companies are to profit from their digital media, they need to have it protected, encoded, or metered in some way that when some one views it, they are billed in some manner.
Otherwise, one person buys it and makes perfect copies that are easily shared.

I think this area of Digital Rights Management is going to be highly profitable.
The problem is trying to figure out who has the edge over the competition and if there have been any barriers to entry that have been formed.
There are a handful of smaller companies without much revenues in this field.
I have noticed that RNWK has been leaning further in that direction.
And now IBM has entered the game with a plan of their own.
(I've noticed IBM becoming more and more like basket covering many areas of the internets growth.)
Intel recently took a step in the DRM direction as well.

I'm guessing that the metering of this all this content will be necessary before anything and everything begins streaming to us.

Some of the small start ups in this area are:

ITRU - Intertrust
WAVX - Wave Express
Xerox's Content Guard (Go figure them trying to prevent prefect copies from being made...) <g>
DMRC - Digimarc
CYBS - Cybersource
DRIV - Digital River
PRVW - Preview Systems
LQID - Liquid Audio
RNWK - Real Networks
RSAS - RSA Security
(I'm looking for any of these to team up with Napster.)

Some use a hardware solution and others use software.
I would think a hardware solution (ie coded addressable chips) would be more hacker unfriendly.
Using a digital watermark code seems to be the newest solution that a few are working on.

I notice that AOL has a deal with ITRU. I haven't done enough DD to even begin to think they are the leader.

Certainly seeing IBM entering the field makes it a viable area to study further.
Anyone have anything to lend to this effort?
Reply here or PM me.

Thanks.

-Clappy