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To: oldirtybastard who wrote (62802)	1/29/2001 8:17:45 PM
From: Mark Adams	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

No- I was trying to put myself in their position. But after I did so, I said to myself, they have huge resources to create decent quality info, way beyond what we have. So while they may not have a 'map', they should have better instruments. All we have is the power of the group. Each of us acting as a neuron in a 'group' brain if you will. Unfortunately, some of these neurons fire erratically.... <g>

To: oldirtybastard who wrote (62802)	1/29/2001 9:22:00 PM
From: dan_oz	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

ODB, With all respect to the gifted minds on this thread, it is guaranteed they have a better map (whether this map will save them is another matter). They have hundreds of supervisors in every U.S. bank looking at loan portfolios/asset quality; dozens of traders on the NY open market desks who are active market participants in numerous financial instruments, monitoring them around the clock and in constant contact with the trading houses/exchanges; they have some of the brightest minds in economics on their staffs at the various branches and the Board; and they have direct and frequent contact with the heads of every major financial institution on the planet, public or private.