To: Mr. Whist who wrote (3948 ) 2/2/2001 8:59:20 AM From: Neocon Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 59480 R&D is always, at some point, ten percent fact and ninety percent science fiction. Taking your point of view, we would not have jet propulsion, radar, or telecommunications satellites. But what you say is not even true. There are deployable systems, it is just a matter of accuracy. With current or easily foreseeable technology, we cannot much exceed a kill rate of about 90%, and we want to improve on that. As for deterrence, that presumes a relatively stable situation. We are concerned now with unstable regimes and rogue action. Even prior to the breakup of the Soviet Union, though, there was an obvious advantage, insofar as it complicated the situation for our adversaries. The argument of the Union of Concerned Scientists was that prior to deployment the Soviets would face a "use them or lose them" situation, and therefore that the threat of a strike was increased. So much for deterrence. Of course, the other argument was that of counter- measures rendering our defenses obsolete. Well, that presupposes that the other party has the technological base and sheer material resources to compete. I believe that the Soviets calculated that they could not do so, and that that led to the ascent of Gorbachev, perestroika and glasnost, and, eventually, the breakup of the Soviet Union. Remember how Gorbachev torpedoed a comprehensive strategic arms reduction agreement at Reykjavik over SDI? They were frightened. The Maginot Line is so different in nature that it is useless as an analogy. The problem there was reliance on fixed fortifications, that could too easily be eluded by the Germans if they came through Belgium. What that particular strategic miscalculation has to do with SDI is exactly nothing. It is true that weapons of mass destruction can still penetrate the continent through smuggling. That is simply a different, albeit frightening, problem. The price tag is outrageous? Well, we are spending plenty on supercolliders, for example, merely to pursue basic research without promise of application. At least in the case of SDI, there is the likelihood of spin- off applications in robotics, lasers, and the like. We will almost certainly come out ahead in the long run. How to decide if the price is outrageous, though. On an annual basis, how much of the budget is committed to SDI related research? And how much of that research would probably go on under a different aegis anyway? I don't know, do you? Cobe adequately answered the attack question, but the main thing to notice is that the question is absurd. We are not invulnerable to attack. Rather, we have done a pretty good job of protecting ourselves. That is the intent in the case of SDI, to continue to look for ways to prevent attack, or minimize its impact........