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Strategies & Market Trends : Bonds, Currencies, Commodities and Index Futures -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Doo who wrote (1294)	2/21/2001 9:03:31 PM
From: IndexTrader	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 12411

Jeffry, Sorry...guess I'm in a crappy mood today. Anyway, I have been thinking about this K-Wave. I don't know if anyone else has looked at this 60 year cycle. Most who study it believe that we are just entering the severe part of the downmove (depression etc). I take a different view. I think it bottomed & we are experiencing the fallout now from the transition. The last trough was (I believe) in 1933 then there was a secondary low in 1939. Sixty years later the CRB bottoms again (in 1999). Back then, the Dow did have a retest low in 1942 while grains etc did not, but then everything rose together...goldilocks times. I think this will happen again, with some lag time for equities. If the CRB has anything to say about it, this K-Wave bottomed in 1998 or 1999. Funny thing about inflation & deflation. They are both good for stocks in the early stages & then very bad in the later stages.