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Technology Stocks : Nokia (NOK) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Eric L who wrote (9696)	3/6/2001 12:33:02 PM
From: foundation	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 34857

"4+1 and 4+2 will be commonplace but whether that is here by Christmas (from Nokia) is uncertain." 4 channels? I assume these will arrive with lead faceplates. IMO, the radiation play (in reality, and as amplified by the press) from multiple bonded channels is the elephant in the GPRS closet that many refuse to acknowledge and prefer to ignore at their peril. "Effective throughput of GPRS will be in the range of ISDN speeds." I've no doubt such handsets can be developed... But for consumer use? Hardly likely - not even with compression. 40-50kbs including compression is the maximum that will be sold to the public before 2003. Radiation will be the limiting factor. "Messaging is where it is at today.." Well - they're doing that perfectly well with GSM handsets.There will be insufficient incentives to upgrade to GPRS handsets. This is the reality that GSM carriers and vendors are incapable or unwilling to face. The upgrade in performance and services will be entirely too small to matter. And the European press will tear into this point - and reinforce its reality in consumers' minds. It may well be the case that future services are always hyped well beyond their potential - but the chasm between GPRS promotion and reality is at a scale well beyond Europe's blunder with WAP, and the fallout will be correspondingly bleak. "...you might want to ask what applications will the Koreans use to justify subscribers upgrading to expensive (unsubsidized) handsets delivering up to 120 kbps peak data rates..." Ignoring statements that Korean subsidy limitations will not apply to 1x handsets, and ignoring carrier's incentives to move customers to 1x handsets for increased capacity, and ignoring IJ's statement at recent conference that the majority of chipsets sold next year would be 1x: Fashion and prestige - having the best and fastest. Games and recreation - the most powerful of all incentives. True Mobile Multimedia Messaging GPRS: mapping, commerce, security and, again, games mobile Internet access for PDA's and laptops "It is not (yet) about raw speed." True - and money isn't everything - unless you haven't got it. ben