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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Stoctrash who wrote (72787)3/19/2001 11:04:45 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 99985
 
Fred, some might interpret 25 as a strong sign of confidence in the economy and "soft landing", it may depend a lot on the spin. If you want the market to settle down slowly and not crash, you would want to counter the forces (gravity) at play with some constant expectation of fed easing, you don't get that "spread in time" expectations if you cut the rates at once and waste all your ammo. I think he'll cut the minimum necessary to keep "the thing" going. He also must keep some ammo dry in the event that the Japanese banking system crumbles, then he might have to go the 75 bp at once.Right now he has no reason to press that acceleration pedal to the floor. All in my humble opinion of course.

Zeev



To: Stoctrash who wrote (72787)3/19/2001 11:04:57 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
what if Greenspam does .25??? Ouch!!!

ya, i'm getting soft -g-, i doubt that, the level of fear showing up in put'call ratios, on newspapers, and on magazine covers, beats the level of fear shown prior to the surprise rate cut in early jan.

no way does greenspan disapoint the market like that, the public is already about to send him to a lynching party.


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