To: MeDroogies who wrote (15645 ) 3/21/2001 1:54:03 AM From: Hardly B. Solipsist Respond to of 19079 This post is more to people that are new to the ORCL thread; I know that MeDroogies has seen all this from me before. I agree with this, and would like to add another point. For some reason ORCL attracts more bashing than I would expect. In my opinion, it's a well-run company, and while Ellison is frequently given to hyperbole, if you pay attention to what he says (rather than how he says it), he's generally right and almost always has good points to make. (He does frequently make statements like "we're about to crush XYZ corp." that you should take with a grain of salt -- I don't know if these are tantrums or part of his cheerleading duties, but all they really indicate is that he's excited about that market.) And whatever one might think of Ellison's public statements, I have never heard Jeff Henley say anything that I later thought was misleading or untrue. (Further, he's quite careful to distinguish between what he knows and what he expects, so I feel that he can be trusted quite a bit.) The point of this is that, while a number of analysts have commented that they don't understand how the quarter could have gone the way it did and that they think that something else must be going on, etc., I really doubt this. At the last CC Ellison and Henley were very explicit about what happened and why they were surprised about it. There is certainly plenty of competition for ORCL, and they are aggressively going after markets that are rapidly changing (increasing their risk), but I believe that you can ignore all of the concerns that get posted about something underhanded going on at the company (as happened at the old IFMX under Phil White). This is just my opinion, of course, but I have been paying attention to the company for a few years now. In the interests of disclosure, I sold almost all of my ORCL last March because I thought that the price was too high, and I have been buying back in slowly over the last couple of months. I don't have a near-term low, although I don't find 10 impossible to believe -- early this year I thought the bottom would be 15, but I've given up on trying to guess the bottom. I do feel comfortable that in 2 years ORCL will be 30 or more if we don't hit a big slump.