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To: James Strauss who wrote (8275)3/22/2001 10:30:27 PM
From: Jibacoa  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13094
 
<<we should Replace the FED with a computer program that tracks the 3 month Treasury Bills...>>

According to Mr.Laffer the "interest cuts" are not meaningful because virtually nobody borrows from the FED. Member banks recently had only $34 MILLION borrowed from the FED which was less than 1/2 of 1/1000th of the total member bank reserves.

If the 3 months T-bill would get significantly higher than the discount rate, the banks could borrow all they could for a guaranteed profit. That is the reason the FED can not let the two rates get too much out of line, and why the FED just follows the 3 months T-bill.

It is the rate of growth of the monetary base what ultimately influences or determines interest rates,inflation, the price of gold, exchange rates,etc.

If that is the case, I guess the computer program that will be needed to regulate the rate of growth of the money supply is going to be more complex than one to follow the 3 months T-bills, so it seems we still need to have uncle Al at the helm for some time.<g>

RAGL

Bernard



To: James Strauss who wrote (8275)3/22/2001 10:56:20 PM
From: Jibacoa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13094
 
<<The 1800 area on the Nasdaq is looking ok for now as support... We should see the Dow make a stand in the 9000 area...>>

JIM: The NAZ is now close to the Oct.98 H (1,780), if the DOW will also get to its Oct.98 H still has some room to drop (to 8,750) Of course up until this week the DOW had been weathering the storm better than the NAZ.

At any rate, It seems we won't have to wait too long before we know what will happen.<g>

RAGL

Bernard