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To: Eric L who wrote (10164)3/29/2001 1:25:23 PM
From: The Verve  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 34857
 
Their (approximate) estimates of subs by technology end of 2007 is:

* GSM 710,000 Million
* GPRS 230,000 Million
* EDGE 25,000 Million
* WCDMA 255,000 Million
* cdmaOne 195,000 Million
* CDMA 1x 50,000 Million
* TDMA 90,000 Million
* PDC 35,000 Million
* PHS 5 Million
* Analog 15,000 Million

This Strategis forecast calls into question the credibility of any of their forecasts. I don't understand how cdmaOne is afforded such a large number, while 1X is given such a small one. I imagine cdmaOne will be in existence in 2007, but in very small numbers.

If one accepts the Strategis forecast, they're subscribing to the idea that cdmaOne operators are going to snub 1X...they're going to turn their back on greatly enhanced data capabilities as well as nearly a double in voice capacity for relatively small incremental cost.

Makes sense to me.

Do people pay money for these 'forecasts'?

Verve