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To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (96468)3/30/2001 2:27:29 PM
From: engineer  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 152472
 
take one industry alone. Cable modems, one of hte fastest growing things around. they spend $300-500 per house to purchase a cable modem. then they spend another $100-200 on installation. So if they just took to putting HDR repeaters on telephone poles and handed out HDR modem cards,they can take that installation down to $150 for the HDR modem and somewhere around $50-100 for overhead on that installation. they would use their existing cable distribution to the local neighborhoods and then use HDR in teh last mile for the house to house wiring. Look for COX/Sanders to do this any day. The first year savings is alot.

Next take the business traveler and fixed business world. Alot of the hotels are now upgrading to fixed 10baseT connectiosn in hotel rooms. If they put this as HDR nodes,then they can offer this thruout the holtel and grounds and everywhere. Much eaier to install and retrofit than ripping out walls and running cat 5 cable. And this extends to all teh ancillary biz traveler locations as well. Airports, travel lounges, rental car locations, gas stations etc.

there is alot of information out there that is useful for the mobile person, jsut not tapped yet.

Look for Wingcast to explore alot of this. SOON.



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (96468)3/30/2001 3:23:48 PM
From: JohnG  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
 
Euro Bureaucrats make Poor Businessmen.

Huge Debts Hobble Europe's Telecoms
By William Drozdiak
Washington Post Foreign Service
Thursday, March 29, 2001; Page E01

BRUSSELS, March 28 -- Europe justly boasts of supremacy in at least one major
high-tech industry, the business of mobile telephones.

Britain's Vodafone is the world's largest network operator, Finland's Nokia is the leader
in making mobile phones and Sweden's Ericsson is considered the top equipment
supplier. More than 60 percent of the people living in the European Union own cellular
phones, compared with about 40 percent in the United States.

So when European nations held a series of auctions last year for the rights to transmit
over airwaves to offer new high-speed Internet services on mobile phones -- known in
industry jargon as third-generation or "3G" wireless services -- the major telephone
companies bid up the licenses with abandon, assuming incalculable profits to come.

For governments, the auctions seemed a convenient and painless way to share in the
bounty. They collected more than $100 billion in license fees.

But now those prices seem exorbitant by any conventional measure, and the profits seem
far from assured. Credit agencies promptly slashed the ratings of most of the winners, and
their stocks plummeted.

What once seemed to be a government coup now looks like a policy disaster that imposed
an intolerable burden on some of Europe's most prominent enterprises, triggered a wave
of bankruptcies and threatened the banks behind the spending.

With the telephone companies now owing enormous fees and their stocks far below their
highs, the prospect of spending another $100 billion or so to build the 3G networks has
pushed many to the breaking point.

The chief executives of Deutsche Telekom, France Telecom and British
Telecommunications -- three former state monopolies that rank among the leviathans of
Europe's telephone industry -- are all under pressure to leave their posts for having
accumulated huge debts over the past year.

Some financial analysts believe it will take at least a decade for those companies to
recover, if they ever do.

"Europe has shot itself in the foot," said Peter Cochrane, BT's former head of technology.
"These auctions were a really good study in madness. It was a bit like lemmings going
over the edge of a cliff." He predicted that 3G technology will be a bust and that those
companies -- once regarded as Europe's bluest chips -- will collapse under the strain of
their debts.

BT Chairman Iain Vallance and Chief Executive Peter Bonfield are facing a revolt by
shareholders who want them ousted for leading the company into such a parlous
condition. BT's shares have lost two-thirds of their value, debt has soared to $43 billion
through its aggressive pursuit of 3G licenses, and its credit rating is now threatened with
junk bond status.

Similarly, France Telecom's chief executive, Michel Bon, is struggling to appease
investors who have watched the value of their stock plummet by 75 percent this year. Bon
has tried to keep creditors at bay by selling off assets to pay down about $55 billion in
debt, but a recent spinoff of its wireless operator, Orange PLC, reaped only $6 billion. As
a result, Bon was forced to launch the biggest corporate bond sale in history, worth $16
billion, to raise as much money as possible before credit markets shut their doors.

And at Deutsche Telekom, chief executive Ron Sommer has been waging the same battles
-- trying to cope with $54 billion in debt, lawsuits from investors and credit downgrades
that have reduced confidence in his stewardship.

One of the biggest problems faced by Europe's three major phone companies -- which
together accumulated more than $120 billion in debt over the past year -- is the danger
that their obligations will undermine their ability to compete with less-encumbered
foreign operators. Japan, for example, awarded its 3G licenses for virtually nothing,
which will give national champions such as NTT DoCoMo a big advantage in the race to
supply advanced wireless technology to business.

Just a year ago, no price seemed too high to pay for the licenses. But now, doubts have
arisen about when 3G phones will reach the market and whether they will ever be
profitable enough to justify the enormous investment.

The credit crunch facing Europe's telecom industry is rippling across the whole economy.
Banks have been getting nervous about $200 billion in loans to the phone companies,
particularly after an alarming report recently by Morgan Stanley Dean Witter titled "The
Telecom Debt Iceberg." The fact that the companies are clamoring for another $90 billion
to $115 billion to build their new wireless franchises -- when the global economy
appears headed for rough times -- arouses fear of future defaults.

Fearing that Europe may lose its global primacy in mobile telephone service because of
what some portray as the greed of governments to collect license fees, the EU's executive
commission has urged the phone companies to pool resources in building 3G systems.

But Ewan Sutherland, head of Europe's leading consumer protection group in the
telecommunications industry, warns that "there should be an obligation to show that
there's a clear benefit for the user" in stifling free market competition and allowing the
phone companies to collaborate to ease their debt pressures.

"There should be some safeguards to protect the consumer and permit enough
competition," said Erkki Liikanen, the EU's commissioner for information technology.
"But at the same time, investors in the wireless sector need to know that Europe has a
long-term commitment to success in the field of third generation networks and that we do
not want to add to the burdens on the operators."



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (96468)3/30/2001 4:53:08 PM
From: Uncle Frank  Respond to of 152472
 
>> My question is who of importance will need <wireless data>?

A very large and growing percentage of business people and students carry PDA's these days.

Audiovox plans integrated PDA/phone
HAUPPAUGE, N.Y.—Audiovox Communications Corp.
announced plans for an integrated personal digital assistant
and wireless phone, to be introduced in the third quarter of
this year.

According to Audiovox, the wireless information
communicator will be third-generation cdma2000 1x-ready,
and will work with carriers supporting the 3G network. The
device is expected to offer digital calling capabilities through
a hands-free attachment and should enable consumers to
access the Internet, make notes, make calls, and watch
video sequences.

“Timing is crucial,” said Philip Christopher, president and
chief executive officer of Audiovox. “Audiovox is preparing to
introduce its combination personal digital assistant and
cellular phone just as U.S. carriers will begin to implement 1x
technology. The PDA/phone is the optimal wireless
communications tool for consumers to take full advantage of
the power of 1x technology.”

rcrnews.com



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (96468)3/30/2001 11:19:51 PM
From: waverider  Respond to of 152472
 
Exactly.

<H>



To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (96468)3/31/2001 12:15:13 AM
From: Jon Koplik  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
Re : why expect data (via wireless) to be big with ordinary people -- in the (not too distant (?)) future, when wifey calls me on my cell phone, I assume at some point I will also be seeing a color video image of her, in addition to hearing her voice.

The video transmission will be data (and use a lot more bytes than the voice signal, I assume).

Jon.