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To: lkj who wrote (9500)4/17/2001 10:09:55 AM
From: peter grossman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10309
 
Khan,

What do you mean by the cookie jar? You've referred to it in relation to royalties before. Do you really think that more royalties now mean less later?

Thanks,

Peter



To: lkj who wrote (9500)4/17/2001 10:17:33 AM
From: Carpe per Diem  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10309
 
"Cisco warned big time. 30% decline in Q-to-Q sales. It's also taking a $2.5 billion inventory charge. Cisco, Nortel, and Lucent are three of the largest customers of WRS. John Chambers is calling this the 100 year flood. Cisco is not just cutting sale/marketing people. It is also cutting R&D budgets and engineers. I don't see how WRS can avoid this flood. How much is left in the cookie jar?"

This is the same argument the AMRO analyst used when he downgraded WIND late in Q4. WIND management dealt squarely with this issue in the Q4CC, pointing out these market conditions are driving business to their door. You have to wonder if Nortel was awash in cash, would they have chosen to standardize on VxWorks? I think Nortel went this route to increase efficiencies and drive costs and time out of their product development cycle.

If Ciscos is cutting R&D budgets and in-house engineers, that doesn't mean they will stop innovating, it means they will outsource MORE...IMO.

Rinks