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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (96280)4/19/2001 12:50:20 PM
From: John Doyle  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Question - The American consumer fuels the economy. As long as the consumer can get credit, they will take it because they can make the monthly payments. So credit continues to expand until they can't make the monthly payments. The question is; when will this start to be known. I think it will be in about one year from now. But the market will start to know this in the fall of this year I believe. What do you think?



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (96280)4/19/2001 1:11:44 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
Heinz ........ there are two option one it really is mostly outdated inventory worth may be 1/10 or 1/20 of what they bought it for = accounting fraud.

Second possibility - lets write inventory down this quarter and then use most of it during the next quarter. Cost of goods zero, gross margin expand ........ profit Q over Q go up ---- earnings growth is back at CSCO ....... stock zooms to the sky = premeditated accounting fraud.

So which one you prefer ?

Haim



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (96280)4/19/2001 1:36:05 PM
From: benwood  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
If Cisco gets away with this, shouldn't every company write down all inventory every quarter, thus restating the prior (but who cares) quarter and effectively allowing their perceived current net margins to soar? They'd be idiots not to. The next step I suppose is to write down inventory to less than zero, say, minus a billion dollars (cost of likely disposal, say). Scam, scum, whatever...