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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Miljenko Zuanic who wrote (3643)5/1/2001 9:30:46 AM
From: Biomaven  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52153
 
Clear evidence of a slowdown at the FDA for NME (new molecular entity) approvals:

Approval Times (In Months) for NDAs and NMEs Approved Fiscal Years
1988-2000 (Updated 4/24/2001)

fda.gov

2000 was still better than 1997, but clearly 1998 and 1999 are now "the good old days."

These statistics are also interesting:

Active Investigational New Drugs (INDs) at the Close of the Calendar
Year - Calendar Years 1986-2000 (Updated 4/24/2001)

fda.gov

INDs Received Calendar Years 1986-2000 (Updated 4/24/2001)

fda.gov

So the rate of commercial IND's has been pretty constant, with a slight 1998 peak. Active IND's have been very steady, with a modest secular growth trend.

Be interesting to know what % of the IND's have been from biotechs vs. from pharmas, and what % of the IND's are for NME's. About 40% of approvals are for NME's, but approval rates are bound to be higher for the non-NME's and NME's must also have substantially higher attrition. So at a rough guess NME IND's must be well over 50% of all IND's.

Peter



To: Miljenko Zuanic who wrote (3643)6/13/2001 7:57:45 PM
From: Miljenko Zuanic  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52153
 
<<"BEZ TRECE NEMA SRECE"!>>

Ova treca ne izgleda bas sretna!

Or, in plain English:

We have few M&A, but it is far, far from what we need to consolidate bio-business, or what I think we need. While BMS buying DuPont pharma unit is overall step forward, bios still are going for sale or merge after they *dry-up*.

And, they all will be successful,... until proved opposite!

Miljenko

PS: Did anyCEO learned anything from LKST case?