SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Intel Strategy for Achieving Wealth and Off Topic -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sonny McWilliams who wrote (26920)5/12/2001 3:53:11 PM
From: William Hunt  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 27012
 
Sonny ---a great article on energy :

Message 15792270
Bush is right about one thing ---we need a national energy policy or focus to help us become more independent .

What keeps worrying me about interest rates is that mortgage rates are not going down which means the FED is not providing enough lidquidity even though they are lowering rates . I wonder if the FED is playing a game with trying to keep the economy from going into recession while waiting for the Congress to enact the 100 billion dollar tax cut for the next two years . They might feel the stimulus from both ( the FED and Congress ) might be too much . Whatever they sure have screwed up the one weapon to keep inflation under control ----productivity ---went negative for the first time in six years . The economy ( and the market ) will not rebound until energy eases and until the economy is re-liquified

BEST WISHES
BILL



To: Sonny McWilliams who wrote (26920)5/14/2001 9:18:41 AM
From: William Hunt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27012
 
Sonny --a break down on the tax cut proposed by the Senate :
ctj.org

Tell's where the money is headed

BEST WISHES
BILL



To: Sonny McWilliams who wrote (26920)5/16/2001 6:31:58 AM
From: William Hunt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27012
 
Sonny frombriefing.com :
Interestingly, the market was out in front of the Fed late last year/early this year when it was pressing for aggressive rate cuts... But just about the time the Fed "gets it," the market loses sight of the big picture and begins to soften on need for additional rate cuts... Don't be fooled by the consumer - the economy continues to decelerate, earnings continue to erode and economic conditions overseas continue to deteriorate... Acknowledging these facts, the Fed cut rates by another 50 basis points on Tuesday and left the door open for additional easings... Briefing.com holding to view that funds rate will come down another 50 to 100 basis points before easing cycle runs its course... The pace of rate cuts may slow, as Greenspan & Co. move from 50 to 25 basis point rate cuts, but lower rates are needed in order to stimulate business investment and economic growth.

Market failed to respond positively to the move. One reason for the lackluster response was fact that move was highly anticipated... But action also left traders speculating a) if cut was the last, b) if Fed, by being so aggressive and maintaining easing bias, sees something market doesn't and c) if rate cuts will make much difference (near-term), if corporate profits don't show signs of improving... Without a clear answer, traders simply stayed put and shifted their focus to this week's earnings numbers.

Though most of the tech earnings are in, a number of high profile firms were slated to report results this week - starting last night with Brocade (BRCD), BEA Systems (BEAS), Applied Materials (AMAT), Network Appliance (NTAP), Sycamore Networks (SCMR) and QLogic (QLGC)... Headline numbers were mixed with NTAP, BRCD and BEAS meeting estimates, while AMAT and SCMR missed by a penny... However, the big news is in the guidance, and early indications are decent as orders at AMAT were relatively strong and Brocade indicated that Q2 marks the low water mark for the business and that IT budgets may be thawing... For more details and reports from the conference calls, see Briefing.com's Short Stories page.

Credence Systems (CMOS), Hewlett-Packard (HWP), Ciena (CIEN), Analog Devices (ADI), Dell (DELL), SERENA (SRNA) and Portal Software (PRSF) among the firms due to report results over the remainder of the week.

As long as the street doesn't come away from these reports convinced that the earnings recovery is still several quarters away, techs are poised to resume their ascent... The Fed's aggressive actions will take hold later this year - about the same time corporate profits begin to improve - a very powerful combination... Investors should be buying in anticipation of that event.

BEST WISHES
BILL