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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (599)5/19/2001 1:52:14 AM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95761
 
This is a follow up to post #599 with more data on the up
cycles. The data below in the first section(3 columns)
shows the group prices vs time for the period from 10/8/98
to 3/10/2000 - the last complete up cycle. The next 3
columns show the start of the present up cycle to the
present date. For the time periods, the group value
and the cumulative percent gain to date is shown.

Note that starting with 10/8/98, it took the group only 8
weeks to hit 100+ percent gain. Then, however, the group
stayed in the 100 to 200 percent range until 10/22/99. At
that point the group "took off" and went to a 638 percent
gain on 3/10/00, a period of 20 weeks.

The present up cycle starting on 11/30/00 is not as robust
as the last cycle, but it is moving upward. By looking
across the columns of the 2 series, it is fairly easy to see
the progression of the 2 up cycles and make comparisons.


CUM CUM
GROUP PERCENT GROUP PERCENT
DATE VALUE CHANGE DATE VALUE CHANGE
10/8/98 225 11/30/00 567
10/16/98 273 21 12/8/00 695 23
10/23/98 353 57 12/15/00 627 11
10/30/98 367 63 12/22/00 620 9
11/6/98 374 66 12/29/00 649 14
11/13/98 403 79 1/5/01 691 22
11/20/98 430 91 1/12/01 800 41
11/27/98 442 97 1/19/01 848 50
12/4/98 462 105 1/26/01 834 47
12/11/98 437 94 2/02/01 823 45
12/18/98 456 103 2/9/01 743 31
12/24/98 457 103 2/16/01 816 44
12/31/98 460 105 2/23/01 778 37
1/8/99 547 143 3/2/01 728 28
1/15/99 569 153 3/9/01 744 31
1/22/99 561 149 3/16/01 664 17
1/29/99 612 172 3/23/01 755 33
2/5/99 575 156 3/30/01 679 20
2/12/99 583 159 4/6/01 635 12
2/19/99 578 157 4/12/01 773 36
2/26/99 496 121 4/20/01 860 52
3/5/99 498 121 4/27/01 858 51
3/12/99 497 121 5/4/01 824 45
3/19/99 499 122 5/11/01 827 46
3/26/99 461 105 5/18/01 869 53
4/1/99 482 114
4/9/99 504 124
4/16/99 499 122
4/23/99 543 141
4/30/99 488 117
5/7/99 503 124
5/14/99 509 126
5/21/99 515 129
5/28/99 479 113
6/4/99 515 129
6/11/99 578 157
6/18/99 593 164
6/25/99 583 159
7/2/99 634 182
7/9/99 645 187
7/16/99 687 205
7/23/99 609 171
7/30/99 632 181
8/6/99 609 171
8/13/99 631 181
8/20/99 593 164
8/27/99 648 188
9/3/99 687 205
9/10/99 711 216
9/17/99 711 216
9/24/99 645 187
10/1/99 655 191
10/8/99 677 201
10/15/99 678 201
10/22/99 661 194
10/29/99 724 222
11/5/99 795 253
11/12/99 861 283
11/19/99 874 289
11/26/99 853 279
12/3/99 895 298
12/10/99 887 294
12/17/99 878 290
12/24/99 952 323
12/31/991001 345
1/7/00 942 319
1/14/00 1165 418
1/21/00 1258 459
1/28/00 1150 411
2/4/00 1278 468
2/11/00 1353 502
2/18/00 1388 517
2/25/00 1437 539
3/3/00 1619 620
3/10/00 1660 638


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