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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: pezz who wrote (4029)	5/31/2001 12:30:49 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 74559

Hi Pezz, <<Not any reason for an economic collapse>> I do not see an economic collapse either, just a financially unhealthy event for my money if it was fully allocated to equity. <<I beg to differ. Bond yield curve say "expect recovery">> Well, if that is what bond yield are saying, then it is just as wrong as the equity market. <<Strong dollar , productivity and slow economy say "expect no inflation">> These were all functions of each other, in a virtuous circle, to borrow a phrase, and when it becomes clear that the circle is / may be broken, we will ... <<...The dollars demise has been predicted on this thread often but...>> what ... we are only waiting. << why the lowering of FED will help, at all ... It has helped in the past has it not?>> Do not live in the past. Look forward. Look Japan. Look and see that 250 basis points later, still nothing. <<Inflation is measured as domestic price increases relative to past domestic prices.Energy is a cost component in everything. If it gets outa hand it could do more to increase inflation than anything AG will do....It is the wild card that scares me.>> Oil going up in price would be a one time event. AG generated inflation, if successful, will be a circularity that would be difficult to gain control over without hurt. <<BTW I continue to refuse to repent>> I know, and thus the conversation. Chugs, Jay