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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: isopatch who wrote (8421)6/2/2001 1:06:14 AM
From: Davy Crockett  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Gotta agree with you... I'm almost 66% precious metals. ( Gold, not enough Silver... looking to increase my exposure to Silver).

Energy...hmmm I'm not so sure, HTR.to (on the TSE) pure natural gas play still looks interesting, Calpine & alternative energy stocks are kind of interesting... (a little bit wary 'cause everybody & his/her broker is touting energy. (although I blew it... when President Bush was giving his speech about alternative energy stocks I kept flipping through all the charts... but to my amazement, nothing happened. So I didn't buy...

sheesh , talk about <gnashing of teeth> I think it took 2 or 3 hours for those stocks to move. Needless to say, since they didn't move... I didn't buy 'em (stupid, stupid, stupid) DUH that's me!

I also like selective BIOS & of course P.M. stocks (please realize that I have a bias towards P.M. stocks). Right now I'm working off the TSE (which may be too illiquid for you). Gold & maybe DROOY is interesting. Still working on some minimal D.D. on NAS Bios.

As a wee bit of a contrarian, I also like some of the beaten up B&B stocks ie: ARBA.... kinda of reminds me of XRX about a 1/2 year ago or so... 'cept without the accounting problems... FWIW, CMGI nice clear channel albight on a downward trend... keeps bouncing between support & resisantce. & IMHO I won't get into the fundamentals 'cause than I will expose myself as an imbecile. Please note that I have no personal interest (phnpi) (That will change but dependant on the T.A.) I will buy again if the 5 day ema can finally cross-over the 21 day ema. For the very short term CMTN is interesting (again PHNPI). Although a Head & shoulders may have developed on the hourly chart.

Very interested in PAAS or CDE (silver plays) They & (I am guessing a bit, cause I'm too tired/lazy to check the Precious Metal stocks) have bounced off the 50 day ema or have closed above or off the 50 day ema FWIW

Still learning...
Peter



To: isopatch who wrote (8421)6/2/2001 5:47:31 PM
From: dawgfan2000  Respond to of 52237
 
Hello Iso,

Some great points in your post. >>it's important to look beyond the technology sector when planning where you want to position yourself for the next bull market.<< I am curious what your time frame for the past bull market is in that context, the entire run, or the past 3-5 years? Message 15883482

Just for conversations sake, about 2-3 years ago, I was looking at the "unwanteds" and picked up some banks and Def (C, WM, BA, GE, XOM, RD, JPM & MO to speak of). Since that time, this part of my portfolio has been one of my greatest strengths and best returns (specially the past year). Yet now, I am looking at Tech for the same reasons as then: they have become the unwanteds and are starting to meet some criteria in my (boring) hold and be patient portfolio.

When I look at potential 20-30-50% gains, I see it more in stocks like SUNW @15 (to +-22), ORCL @15 (to +-22), NT @13 (to +-20) and MOT@14 (to +-21). Much like those old-school stocks were 2 years ago. I don't quite see the same for GE (50 to 75), BA (65-97) RTN (30-45), C (50-75) or MO (50-75) in a risk/reward/return profile (although I reserve the right to later change my opinion -ggg-). It's not that I don't like any of those companies either (I still hold some).

My thought is that I think there is value in bottom fishing a little bit (coming up) if you are not a nimble trader like many of the folks here. I sometimes tend to kick back and let my stocks work for me but you *always* need that DD part and these are certainly for a longer term hold.

I just think it's a little funny that 3 years ago, I looked at those old-school companies and thought "hmmm, beaten down, value plays", now I see the same in **some** tech companies and those old-schoolers that moved recently as over valued (in comparison)-ggg-

Any way, not an argument to your thoughts, just some random ideas about how things have now flip-flopped. It always pays to keep that diversified portfolio. Thanks for sharing your insights,

regards



To: isopatch who wrote (8421)6/4/2001 1:31:22 PM
From: Arik T.G.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
After POG lost 2/3 of its gains since April 2nd and HUI giving back only half, Looks like the PM stocks are pricing higher premium. If looking at the PM stocks like options on Gold one can say their i.v. just rose.
Under those conditions wouldn't it be better to play the metal itself instead of stocks?

ATG