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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (77819)6/3/2001 4:31:49 PM
From: willcan  Respond to of 99985
 
"a policy which will make it too "expensive" for the Palestinians to continue with their policy of terror."

I agree. I can't recall specific incidents, but I sure have thought since the Gulf war, that there's been enough incidents to escalate tensions so I have wondered why another 7day, 12 day, 8 hour war hasn't happened. I've sensed that the Israeli's know that the US has decimated it's military over the past decade to a point that we couldn't, even if it wanted, be able to support Israel even as a "uninvolved balancing factor".

With Clinton in the WH, I bet they decided they had no choice but to attempt a peace process and it almost worked. As you said , too bad Arafat didn't take it. Unless the moderates in the other ME states (Jordan,Egypt.Leb,Syria) join with Israel in economic activities, which could then be the catalyst for some valid negotiations. Since that probably won't happen, I expect a 3,5,7 day war when the Israeli's feel that they can succeed militarily and politically. Probably it'll be years, cause I really think they need the US military to be available, and it's not now, or they need to have a completely overwhelming military.



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (77819)6/3/2001 6:06:07 PM
From: StormRider  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 99985
 
i agree that the violence is terrible and that it has to stop. but the reality is this: the palestinians are a desperate people fighting for over 50 years for their land. even if arafat agrees to all the peace treaties in the world, do you really think he has any control over his own people to stop the violence if they are not treated fairly? look at it that way...



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (77819)6/3/2001 6:57:27 PM
From: Mike M  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Their is no gain only the perceived gain of someone who hates with such intensity that the misery of others is their only goal.

In that environment, retaliation isn't a solution it is simply the next step in a long line of misery. I frankly can think of no solution as long as people are content to hate each other.