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Strategies & Market Trends : Commodities - The Coming Bull Market -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: craig crawford who wrote (162)	6/8/2001 1:29:55 AM
From: craig crawford	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1643

Annual Average Zinc Price (Dollars per pound) Year..... Price.......Year.......Price.......Year.......Price....... Year....... Price 1875..... 0.070 .....1906 .....0.061 .....1937 .....0.065 .....1968 .....0.135 1876 .....0.072 .....1907 .....0.058 .....1938 .....0.046 .....1969 .....0.147 1877..... 0.060 .....1908 .....0.046 .....1939 .....0.051 .....1970 .....0.153 1878..... 0.049 .....1909 .....0.054 .....1940 .....0.063 .....1971 .....0.161 1879..... 0.052 .....1910 .....0.054 .....1941 .....0.075 .....1972 .....0.178 1880..... 0.055 .....1911 .....0.056 .....1942 .....0.083 .....1973 .....0.207 1881..... 0.052 .....1912 .....0.068 .....1943 .....0.083 .....1974 .....0.360 1882 .....0.053 .....1913 .....0.055 .....1944 .....0.083 .....1975 .....0.390 1883..... 0.045 .....1914 .....0.051 .....1945 .....0.083 .....1976 .....0.370 1884..... 0.044 .....1915 .....0.142 .....1946 .....0.087 .....1977 .....0.344 1885..... 0.043 .....1916 .....0.136 .....1947 .....0.105 .....1978 .....0.310 1886..... 0.044 .....1917 .....0.089 .....1948 .....0.136 .....1979 .....0.373 1887..... 0.046 .....1918 .....0.080 .....1949 .....0.122 .....1980 .....0.374 1888..... 0.049 .....1919 .....0.070 .....1950 .....0.139 .....1981 .....0.446 1889..... 0.050 .....1920 .....0.078 .....1951 .....0.180 .....1982 .....0.385 1890..... 0.055 .....1921 .....0.047 .....1952 .....0.162 .....1983 .....0.414 1891..... 0.050 .....1922 .....0.057 .....1953 .....0.109 .....1984 .....0.486 1892..... 0.046 .....1923 .....0.066 .....1954 .....0.107 .....1985 .....0.404 1893..... 0.040 .....1924 .....0.063 .....1955 .....0.123 .....1986 .....0.380 1894..... 0.035 .....1925 .....0.076..... 1956 .....0.135 .....1987 .....0.419 1895..... 0.036 .....1926 .....0.073 .....1957 .....0.114 .....1988 .....0.602 1896..... 0.039 .....1927 .....0.062 .....1958 .....0.103 .....1989 .....0.820 1897..... 0.041 .....1928 .....0.060 .....1959 .....0.115 .....1990 .....0.746 1898..... 0.046 .....1929 .....0.065 .....1960 .....0.130 .....1991 .....0.528 1899..... 0.058 .....1930 .....0.046 .....1961 .....0.116 .....1992 .....0.584 1900..... 0.044 .....1931 .....0.036 .....1962 .....0.116 .....1993 .....0.462 1901..... 0.041 .....1932 .....0.029 .....1963 .....0.120 .....1994 .....0.493 1902..... 0.048 .....1933 .....0.040 .....1964 .....0.136 .....1995..... 0.534 1903..... 0.054 .....1934 .....0.042 .....1965 .....0.145 .....1996 .....0.511 1904..... 0.051 .....1935 .....0.043 .....1966 .....0.145 .....1997 .....0.646 1905..... 0.059 .....1936 .....0.049 .....1967 .....0.139 .....1998..... 0.514 Significant events affecting zinc prices since 1958 1954-64 Stockpile buildup; import quotas 1965-69 Vietnam conflict; import quotas terminate; stockpile releases 1971-73 Price control; slow price increase 1975-82 Stockpile sales terminate; declining production 1977 Recessions 1982 Recession; introduction of zinc penny 1983-89 Period of sustained economic growth; stagnating domestic production; high zinc imports and prices 1987-89 Short supply of zinc metal; strong world demand

To: craig crawford who wrote (162)	6/8/2001 2:07:37 AM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1643

Yes, If this new Caspian source is as large as touted it will further erode Opec's ability to control oil pricing although they have done better than most expected this time around. I like ng better going forward (longer term) but I think we may be in for one more 'normal' down cycle in energy. I don't expect to be as severe however due to increasing electricity demand, fuel cell development, and the developments in LNG. I intend (so far) though to play it through royalty trusts. regards Kastel

To: craig crawford who wrote (162)	6/8/2001 2:50:12 AM
From: craig crawford	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1643

A Milestone Moment For an Energy Bonanza? Superconductor Cable to Undergo a Key Test in Detroit By Guy Gugliotta Washington Post Staff Writer Sunday, May 20, 2001; Page A03 washingtonpost.com The cable's 250 pounds of wire are a superconductor -- a revolutionary substance which, at very low temperatures, can carry much more electricity than ordinary wire and lose almost none of it in transmission. It will replace 18,000 pounds of copper in nine existing cables. For 90 years, scientists have dreamed about the eye-popping potential of superconductors. Superconductivity could make copper wire obsolete, shrink the size of motors by four-fifths and increase the carrying capacity of power grids by orders of magnitude. Brownouts and rolling outages like those plaguing California could become a thing of the past. American Superconductor stuffed a hollow silver ingot with a ceramic -- a black powder containing the elements bismuth, strontium, calcium, copper and oxygen -- and drew the ingot through progressively smaller dies. Once the tubes lengthened and narrowed to spaghetti-like strands, a bunch were bundled together and stuffed inside another silver jacket to begin the whole process again. Eventually, the wires were small enough to be passed through a roller and flattened into silvery ribbons a little more than an eighth of an inch wide. When the filaments were heated, the ceramic grains were aligned in a superconducting row. Yurek, who developed the process over a decade, compared it to "spreading a deck of cards." One silver "billet" about two feet long became part of a superconducting wire stretching nearly three-fifths of a mile. Frisbie "is a very telling application" because Pirelli will be substituting three superconducting cables for nine copper ones, said Nathan Kelley, senior engineer for superconductivity with Pirelli in North America. For while there is almost no energy loss in superconducting transmission, the gain is at least partly offset by the cost of pumping liquid nitrogen through the cable and by the need to make the wire with silver. American Superconductor currently sells wire for $200 per meter, a price expected to drop to $50 per meter when the company brings a new plant on line in 2002. Copper wire with an equivalent capacity costs $25 per meter, a price superconductors will not approach for several years -- until a new generation of wire that does not use silver comes on the market.