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Strategies & Market Trends : The Thread II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: SirRealist who wrote (2627)	6/24/2001 8:29:43 AM
From: Mao II	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9026

Sir: "This is not strict TA nor is it mere tea leaf reading. Part of it is based on percent declines established historically off bubbles and mathematically from exponential curve collapses. Beyond that, my conclusions are based on chart lines." Im curious what bubbles you are using for your historical guides. M2

To: SirRealist who wrote (2627)	6/24/2001 9:10:24 AM
From: Bald Man from Mars	Respond to of 9026

<<From there, my best guess is to close the year at 1283.>> since we close last year around 2500, and last week about 2000, you are looking for a yearly decline of 50%, and a decline of 35% from this level ... wow !!! I hope you are right ...

To: SirRealist who wrote (2627)	6/24/2001 11:57:38 AM
From: Smart_Money	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9026

Oh my!!! "This low will fall in the range of 514-1025 with my best guess at 770." IF you are right we could be rich by any means if we invest in that range and don't look back for 5 years. A no brainer.

To: SirRealist who wrote (2627)	6/24/2001 2:15:27 PM
From: ChrisJP	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9026

Hi Kevin, I read the post containing your prediction for the NASDAQ. Although I basically agree with you fundamental analysis, I disagree with your time table. My guess -- NASDAQ 1800ish in mid July 1400 - 1600ish in mid/late October and again in Dec. The NASDAQ bottoms in mid/late March at 1100 - 1400. Some fabulous bouncing in between. Late-July/early August should have a rebound -- and so should late Dec -mid January. The recover may start occurring in 2nd quarter 2002 but it will be a very slow recovery, and it won't be obvious this time. Therefore, pre-tax selling pressure will occur again and the NASDAQ will bottom as the economy bottoms. Also, like you said, a lot of companies will finally close their doors Feb & March 2002. Looking for S&P 500 of 900 - 1100 between now and March 2002. Just my thoughts, Chris