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To: Sam who wrote (24050)8/24/2001 9:51:46 PM
From: Hawaii60  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30916
 
Thanks Sam, that's a great article.

hawaii



To: Sam who wrote (24050)8/27/2001 9:46:52 AM
From: Art Baeckel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30916
 
Betting On a Tech Recovery? These Stocks Won't Deliver

Communications-chip makers are trading as if earnings were jumping.
They're not.

FORTUNE
Monday, September 3, 2001
By Herb Greenberg

Tech investors are desperate for any sign of a bottom. When Broadcom CEO
Henry Nicholas mentioned in July that business was "stabilizing," it seemed
they'd gotten what they were looking for. The stocks of communications-chip
makers like Broadcom, PMC-Sierra, and Applied Micro Circuits, which had
plunged by more than 75% from their highs, have snapped back over the past
four months. Broadcom in particular, at $47, has rebounded an astonishing
75% from its April lows. The worst, it would seem, is over.

Don't be fooled into thinking so. These companies are joined at the hip to the
companies that have created the telecommunications infrastructure--the
Ciscos, Nortels, and Lucents of the world--and that industry is in no way in the
clear. That is leading to a grim prognosis for those who sell chips to them.
"Most companies in the group could be expected to lose money for the next
four to six quarters," says Merrill Lynch chip analyst Mark Lipacis. He says
that any pickup over the next year, or even two, may come in fits and starts as
beleaguered customers slowly whittle away their own bloated inventories,
reordering only to fill the occasional gap.

fortune.com