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To: freeus who wrote (2778)7/5/2001 12:42:09 AM
From: T L Comiskey  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13815
 
To:KymarFye who wrote (79479)
From: Zeev Hed
Wednesday, Jul 4, 2001 4:18 PM
View Replies (2) | Respond to of 79495

Kymar, you know what I fail to see in the financial press, is the possibility, IMTO, that what we are going to experience is a
"double dip" recession. What do I mean by double dip? I mean that the first recession (what we are experiencing now) being
mostly an inventory adjustment and excess capacity absorption (and thus capex) slow down, not really resulting in a true
recession, namely 2Q's of negative growth in GDP, followed next year (late in the year, possibly starting next summer or
autumn) by a true consumer recession (which will result in 2Q or more of negative GDP growth). This possibility is what is
partially guiding my own model of a strong market after what I expect to be "the summer massacre", into next April, and then
another bear market in equities late into 2002 and early 2003.

Zeev



To: freeus who wrote (2778)7/5/2001 8:49:51 AM
From: Venkie  Respond to of 13815
 
No the mkt will go up and down but Qcom will become a hypster and freak out....80 is real doable ba 40.Qlgc=dunno



To: freeus who wrote (2778)7/5/2001 9:01:43 AM
From: Venkie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13815
 
Everybody has an opinion..mine is worthless but I still believe recovery is coming in 2nd 1/2...maybe 1st qtr of 2002...the mkt will look forward and the stk mkt will hold it's ground somewhat and may even go up..KG4 has a plan to buy good companies now and hold a while...not a bad idea...Fear will head fake most and the money will be made by those who step up. but what do I know or dunno.