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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: J.T. who wrote (8058)	7/5/2001 5:10:27 PM
From: James F. Hopkins	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 19219

JT; Here is Titan, March 26 to July 3, with notes at the bottom. Date rytnx/nav TA/titan shares Mil/in/out 3-Jul-01 16.21 126.9 7.8285 ($3.1595) 2-Jul-01 16.29 158.4 9.7238 $3.4297 29-Jun-01 15.96 128.2 8.0326 ($1.6591) 28-Jun-01 16.03 143.7 8.9644 $8.3040 27-Jun-01 15.63 92.3 5.9053 ($1.7630) 26-Jun-01 15.79 105.1 6.6561 $1.6789 25-Jun-01 15.84 95.3 6.0164 $1.2755 22-Jun-01 16.02 89.2 5.5680 ($4.2680) 21-Jun-01 16.35 124.1 7.5902 $1.8052 20-Jun-01 15.99 109.3 6.8355 $1.1126 19-Jun-01 15.71 100.4 6.3908 $5.3699 18-Jun-01 15.6 74.3 4.7628 ($2.6957) 15-Jun-01 15.77 90.8 5.7578 $2.8463 14-Jun-01 15.91 77.6 4.8774 $0.4623 13-Jun-01 16.52 78.3 4.7397 ($1.7755) 12-Jun-01 16.91 89.8 5.3105 $1.9324 11-Jun-01 16.87 80.4 4.7659 ($0.0350) 8-Jun-01 17.17 82 4.7758 ($5.6952) 7-Jun-01 17.52 125.2 7.1461 $4.6426 6-Jun-01 17.33 97.9 5.6492 ($4.4534) 5-Jun-01 17.73 134.8 7.6029 ($0.6573) 4-Jun-01 17.25 136.2 7.8957 $1.5864 1-Jun-01 17.08 123.5 7.2307 ($0.1025) 31-May-01 16.95 123.3 7.2743 $6.4518 30-May-01 16.74 88.2 5.2688 ($1.7926) 29-May-01 17.32 102.2 5.9007 $1.5131 25-May-01 17.58 95.4 5.4266 ($1.9344) 24-May-01 18.04 110 6.0976 $2.8088 23-May-01 17.93 94.6 5.2761 ($1.4329) 22-May-01 18.52 106.2 5.7343 ($2.7676) 21-May-01 18.63 125.6 6.7418 ($0.9932) 18-May-01 18.03 128.4 7.1215 $0.0490 17-May-01 17.91 127.2 7.1022 $0.8441 16-May-01 17.84 121 6.7825 $7.1732 15-May-01 17.84 86.3 4.8374 ($0.0406) 14-May-01 16.83 81.6 4.8485 ($2.6787) 11-May-01 16.77 96.7 5.7662 $1.7343 10-May-01 17.05 89.1 5.2258 $4.2739 9-May-01 17.04 71.2 4.1784 ($5.1318) 8-May-01 17.21 102.9 5.9791 $2.3285 7-May-01 17.26 90.9 5.2665 ($1.2557) 4-May-01 17.36 98.6 5.6797 $5.8069 3-May-01 16.87 71.8 4.2561 ($5.9652) 2-May-01 17.39 114.5 6.5842 ($1.9989) 1-May-01 16.91 125.8 7.4394 ($0.0402) 30-Apr-01 16.91 126.1 7.4571 $1.6450 27-Apr-01 17.01 115.6 6.7960 $3.6382 26-Apr-01 16.54 92.6 5.5985 ($1.5243) 25-Apr-01 16.54 102 6.1669 $9.5176 24-Apr-01 15.89 62.2 3.9144 $0.9558 23-Apr-01 16.25 60 3.6923 ($2.4393) 20-Apr-01 16.78 72.9 4.3445 ($0.2425) 19-Apr-01 17.15 75.6 4.4082 ($0.8618) 18-Apr-01 17.15 79.6 4.6414 $0.1359 17-Apr-01 15.44 71.1 4.6049 $2.6821 16-Apr-01 15.14 59.4 3.9234 ($2.7318) 12-Apr-01 15.27 73.1 4.7872 ($2.4037) 11-Apr-01 14.82 84.2 5.6815 $0.3056 10-Apr-01 14.91 83 5.5667 $0.0596 9-Apr-01 14.14 78.4 5.5446 $3.3580 6-Apr-01 13.86 62.1 4.4805 ($1.3710) 5-Apr-01 14.48 72 4.9724 $2.1528 4-Apr-01 13.26 57.4 4.3288 ($0.1681) 3-Apr-01 13.32 58.4 4.3844 ($0.8182) 2-Apr-01 14.3 66.8 4.6713 ($1.2934) 30-Mar-01 14.72 75.6 5.1359 $1.6204 29-Mar-01 14.46 66.9 4.6266 $0.0367 28-Mar-01 14.54 67.1 4.6149 ($4.0192) 27-Mar-01 15.35 97.9 6.3779 $2.5618 26-Mar-01 14.71 80.4 5.4657 $46.50 $38.30 $25.9295 net= $8.20 10.20% 10.20% --------------------------------------------------------- The TA is UP 46.50 Mil , however adjusting for more shares out, I take the 38.30 Mil off that to get a net gain of 8.20 Mil That checks out at a 10.20% gain with the Nav so it looks right. -------------- Over on the Right $ 25.9295 is the sum of the shares bought/sold so it took that to push her up a net of 8.20..which shows that only a few timers got it right, the average timer put in more than he could get out if he sold right now. The ones who stayed pat from March 26 is up 10.20% ------------------ I'll post the Tempest next, I'd like to put them side by side but pasting that much to SI don't turn out too good. -------------------- BTW looking at the OTC fund , it did best & with a lot less money flowing into it. I deducted that the gains there were caused mostly by shorts getting squeezed out, in fact the timing of the shorts seems so bad , I think most all of the market gains from April are not from people investing as much as the majority of shorts getting whiplash on surprise rate cuts. Jim

To: J.T. who wrote (8058)	7/5/2001 5:34:28 PM
From: James F. Hopkins	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 19219

Hi Again JT; Here is the Temptest. Date rytpx/nav Ta/Tmts shares Mil/in/out 3-Jul-01 62.18 55.9 0.8990 $14.1303 2-Jul-01 61.84 45.3 0.7325 ($12.4019) 29-Jun-01 63.08 57.8 0.9163 ($10.3889) 28-Jun-01 62.81 68.9 1.0970 ($12.4810) 27-Jun-01 64.5 88.3 1.3690 $28.8061 26-Jun-01 63.93 60.5 0.9463 ($4.3464) 25-Jun-01 63.72 64.7 1.0154 $8.6316 22-Jun-01 63.07 56.4 0.8942 $10.0963 21-Jun-01 61.88 47.7 0.7708 ($7.4813) 20-Jun-01 63.18 55.4 0.8769 ($15.8248) 19-Jun-01 64.28 75.2 1.1699 $10.9200 18-Jun-01 78.8 78.8 1.0000 ($1.9310) 15-Jun-01 64.09 65.7 1.0251 $4.3457 14-Jun-01 63.54 61 0.9600 ($1.5402) 13-Jun-01 61.39 60.4 0.9839 $14.5144 12-Jun-01 60.07 47.8 0.7957 ($20.4210) 11-Jun-01 60.22 72.6 1.2056 ($8.4739) 8-Jun-01 59.23 83.1 1.4030 $2.9720 7-Jun-01 58.16 77.7 1.3360 ($2.2388) 6-Jun-01 58.8 81.7 1.3895 $40.6736 5-Jun-01 57.59 47.3 0.8213 ($0.1890) 4-Jun-01 59.1 48.7 0.8240 ($10.4000) 1-Jun-01 59.9 59.9 1.0000 $18.0219 31-May-01 60.1 46.2 0.7687 ($8.3526) 30-May-01 60.82 54.3 0.8928 ($20.2943) 29-May-01 58.96 79 1.3399 ($2.4648) 25-May-01 58.14 81.3 1.3983 $18.9389 24-May-01 56.79 59.9 1.0548 ($5.4703) 23-May-01 57.06 66.6 1.1672 $8.5108 22-May-01 55.43 56.3 1.0157 ($4.8975) 21-May-01 55.11 61.4 1.1141 $0.6298 18-May-01 56.92 62.7 1.1015 $1.6068 17-May-01 57.22 61.3 1.0713 $7.9438 16-May-01 57.51 54.1 0.9407 ($3.4854) 15-May-01 57.32 57.4 1.0014 $6.3209 14-May-01 60.98 55 0.9019 ($7.1152) 11-May-01 61.21 62.5 1.0211 $11.8847 10-May-01 60.23 51.5 0.8551 ($8.5672) 9-May-01 60.29 60.1 0.9968 ($11.5739) 8-May-01 59.74 73.7 1.2337 ($0.7800) 7-May-01 59.6 74.5 1.2500 $8.4028 4-May-01 59.24 64.9 1.0955 ($0.7628) 3-May-01 60.91 67.6 1.1098 ($9.0425) 2-May-01 59.31 77.3 1.3033 $15.8908 1-May-01 60.9 62.6 1.0279 $3.1729 30-Apr-01 60.9 59.5 0.9770 $11.2021 27-Apr-01 60.59 50 0.8252 ($15.1081) 26-Apr-01 60.4 66.4 1.0993 $1.8700 25-Apr-01 62.27 66.4 1.0663 $16.1983 24-Apr-01 64.76 54.8 0.8462 $1.9133 23-Apr-01 63.51 52.2 0.8219 ($23.6452) 20-Apr-01 61.63 80.7 1.3094 $12.4617 19-Apr-01 60.32 65.7 1.0892 ($0.8151) 18-Apr-01 60.32 66.6 1.1041 $9.2780 17-Apr-01 67.09 64.2 0.9569 ($11.4581) 16-Apr-01 68.37 78.9 1.1540 $16.1515 12-Apr-01 67.81 63.3 0.9335 $5.8885 11-Apr-01 69.74 59.9 0.8589 ($3.6119) 10-Apr-01 69.44 62.9 0.9058 ($1.2005) 9-Apr-01 73.23 67.5 0.9218 $6.2499 6-Apr-01 74.77 63.5 0.8493 ($4.3704) 5-Apr-01 71.73 64.7 0.9020 ($0.7224) 4-Apr-01 78.69 71.7 0.9112 ($2.0209) 3-Apr-01 78.38 73.3 0.9352 ($0.6229) 2-Apr-01 73.62 69.4 0.9427 ($0.1546) 30-Mar-01 71.56 67.6 0.9447 $8.3839 29-Mar-01 72.73 61.5 0.8456 ($9.6816) 28-Mar-01 72.48 70.7 0.9754 $27.1060 27-Mar-01 69.02 49 0.7099 $30.0566 26-Mar-01 71.78 35.5 0.4946 $20.40 $25.15 $118.8375 net= -$4.75 -13.37% -13.37% ---------- The TA is up 20.40 in that window..however with more shares out I have to take off the 25.15 to get a negative net of 4.75 Mil and that keeps apples to apples. The fund lost ( -13.37%) BUT look at the money that was shoveled into her..118.8375 Mil..( that's the hidden cost and shows just how bad the shorts played her in that window.) It's a result of summing up the amount & price of shares bought/sold They literally lost almost twice her average assets. Jim PS this is the kind of stuff a fund manager don't want you to know about.