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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marek_wojna who wrote (73279)7/11/2001 5:58:21 PM
From: Stephen O  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116759
 
I don't know about that. I think the real estate boom shows naivete of buyers thinking that they will be able to handle their payments no matter what.



To: marek_wojna who wrote (73279)7/11/2001 7:16:10 PM
From: long-gone  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116759
 
Did you notice where I posted yesterday the first crack in housing?



To: marek_wojna who wrote (73279)7/12/2001 9:18:13 AM
From: Ken Benes  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116759
 
Nothing is quite that simple anymore. While few argue over the current economic weakness, there are other factors leading strength to the economy. Yes technology is getting crushed, however, there are many small business, which provide the majority of jobs, that are doing relatively well in a service based economy. Factor in low interest rates, and high demand for single family housing and you have the current market. Whether this changes remains to be seen. My own thoughts, inflation is not the problem that is was in the 70's, currency depreciation is being handled much better than in the past by a more integrated global economy, and some of the excesses that appeared in the late 90's are being wrung out of the economy.
What does this mean for the real estate market and gold? I do not envision the bottom fallen out of real estate, but I do see a slowing down in pricing and demand. Gold, what can be said, there are too many factors adding pressure to the price of gold and I believe a lot of the numbers floating around about the uncovered short position of gold are inflated. Lastly, whatever gold is produced on a yearly basis, becomes part of an above ground inventory that can hit the market very quickly. In 1998 when Asia was crushed by falling currencies, many of those who had purchased gold earlier in the decade, melted down the family jewels and sold it into the market to raise capital. This will always happen, supply is not a problem, everyone knows it but the goldbugs and it is the main reason that gold can be kept in its current trading range for quite some time.

Ken