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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bilow who wrote (75785)7/15/2001 9:36:09 PM
From: Jdaasoc  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
carl:

RDRAM dropping.

I have only made two predictions about memory pricing.

1) RDRAM will be within 30% of SDRAM or DDR by Sep. Since MM seem to able to flood the market beyond any natural level of demand with 128 Mbit SDRAM or DDR for $2.00 for a month or two with no end in sight and one going bankrupt; 128 Mbit RDRAM could easily sell for $3 at this rate. These prices would put the cost difference for 256 MB for a P4 computer at $16. RMBS stock will stay below $10 a share because royalties will stay below anything one has predicted so far. Please don't call me a dreamer that believes that RMBS is going to triple digits or even double digits soon.

2) PC's with DDR DRAM sockets will by and large will need to be registered DDR memory in computer configurations that compete with RDRAM. The need for $11 of popcorn and it's associated wait state (latency) will exceed the price difference with RDRAM and limit it to use in high memory configuration like servers.

john



To: Bilow who wrote (75785)7/16/2001 8:45:54 PM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
Hi all; Update on the DDR and RDRAM pricing trend...

Date     SDRAM   PC2100  PC800  PC2100 PC800  RDRAM/DDR
03/26/01 $46.20 $188.40 $306.20 +307% +562% 1.625
04/02/01 $45.20 $164.00 $293.20 +263% +549% 1.788
04/09/01 $45.00 $137.80 $281.60 +206% +526% 2.044
04/17/01 $42.00 $119.40 $257.80 +184% +514% 2.159
04/23/01 $40.00 $114.40 $246.00 +186% +515% 2.150
04/30/01 $39.40 $108.00 $224.80 +174% +471% 2.081
05/07/01 $39.00 $ 98.40 $210.00 +152% +438% 2.134
05/14/01 $38.60 $ 88.20 $198.40 +128% +414% 2.249
05/21/01 $34.80 $ 72.40 $189.80 +108% +445% 2.622
05/28/01 $33.20 $ 64.40 $184.00 + 94% +454% 2.857
06/04/01 $29.80 $ 61.80 $166.60 +107% +459% 2.696
06/11/01 $27.60 $ 57.80 $160.20 +109% +480% 2.772
06/18/01 $22.80 $ 54.00 $144.80 +137% +535% 2.681
06/25/01 $19.00 $ 49.00 $137.40 +158% +623% 2.804
06/29/01 $18.80 $ 46.60 $134.40 +148% +615% 2.884
07/07/01 $18.40 $ 45.40 $133.60 +147% +626% 2.943
07/12/01 $18.80 $ 43.20 $122.00 +130% +549% 2.824

06/25/01 $19.00 $ 49.00 $137.40 +158% +623% 2.804
06/26/01 $18.60 $ 48.20 $137.00 +159% +637% 2.842
06/27/01 $18.60 $ 48.20 $136.80 +159% +636% 2.838
06/28/01 $18.20 $ 47.80 $134.40 +163% +638% 2.812
06/29/01 $18.80 $ 46.60 $134.40 +148% +615% 2.884
...
07/07/01 $18.40 $ 45.40 $133.60 +147% +626% 2.943
07/08/01 $18.20 $ 45.20 $133.60 +148% +634% 2.956
07/09/01 $18.60 $ 45.40 $133.60 +144% +618% 2.943
07/10/01 $18.80 $ 44.60 $131.20 +137% +598% 2.942
07/11/01 $19.00 $ 44.60 $129.40 +135% +581% 2.901
07/12/01 $19.00 $ 44.20 $127.00 +133% +568% 2.873
07/13/01 $18.80 $ 43.20 $122.00 +130% +549% 2.824
07/14/01 $18.80 $ 43.20 $119.80 +130% +537% 2.773
07/15/01 $19.00 $ 42.80 $118.20 +125% +522% 2.762
07/16/01 $19.00 $ 42.40 $116.80 +123% +515% 2.755


-- Carl

P.S. Old data: #reply-16079070

New data from pricewatch:

PC133: $ 19, 19, 19, 19, 19 --> $ 19.00
PC2100: $ 41, 42, 43, 43, 43 --> $ 42.40
PC800: $114, 114, 115, 119, 122 --> $116.80