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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Selectric II who wrote (39423)7/27/2001 8:12:00 AM
From: BirdDog  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
Q for me is, will JDSU be ...or will somebody eclipse them in the meanwhile with cheaper, faster stuff?

JDSU is no Gorilla. They have no power for any kind of sustainable competitive advantage. So your fears are real. I personally believe that JDSU could very well spend the rest of it's life spending everything it can to buy up new technology companies in order to stay alive.

BirdDog



To: Selectric II who wrote (39423)7/27/2001 11:36:07 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 65232
 
so much for JDSU plans to quadruple capacity

with the layoffs, are plant closings next?
only way to remain competitive in prep for next round
is to cut cost structure

for several months running I would watch JDSU/QCOM ratio
they were neck 'n' neck for a long time
tells me Uniphz suffers from barriers to entry and excess capacity
QCOM is holding up from its IP locks in the future

to me the Uniphaz news means Lucent is dead in water
and Nortel will struggle mightily

this too shall pass, but NOT by the 2ndHalf
more like next spring
spring reigns eternal
/ jim



To: Selectric II who wrote (39423)7/27/2001 11:49:01 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 65232
 
A CALL TO ARMS: in search of Landlord Stocks

I have been studying like a busy little mickbee lately
trying to learn about upcoming energy winners
but also thinking as I have been for months about a theme

95% of american millionarie$ made their fortune with REAL ESTATE
the concept is transferrable to other businesses

American Tower (AMT) might be building a locked wireless landlord business as we speak, with a dominant market share of north american towers almost completely covering our entire continent
they are building and buying up towers from carriers
then renting the same towers to other carriers efficiently
they will benefit from saturation resistance later
real hard to get towers approved in many communities
their overhead costs are low
their return on investment is high
strong similarity to community and highway billboards

VeriSign (VRSN) might be building an internet landlord business as we speak, with a monopoly on domain registration and a dominant market share with commerce encryption
so they are the internet landlord who sells bestinbreed "keys"
they are ready for the exploding internet commerce phenomenon

I love the Landlord Theme
"build it and they must rent"

can anyone think of OTHER landlord theme stocks out there?

where competitors will have an impossible time catching up?
where recurring income is the order of the day?
where rents can rise in time?
I dont mean patented IP like with CDMA and QCOM
I dont mean gorilla owned and dominated sectors
I mean Landlords owning limited land, space, air, software, media

ideas will be appreciated
I believe all Landlord Theme stocks are easy 20-baggers
with the potential of large dividend income later
or else simple vertical integration subsidized expansion

unlike gorillas, landlords are not easily displaced by "discontinuous" innovation
case in point, eventually Microsoft will be less relevant

thanks for any ideas
/ jim