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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: limtex who wrote (39924)8/7/2001 9:45:35 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
big difference between having the brakes on hard now
and needed to hit the gas peddle

I dont think the brakes are on hard
he think we are coasting into walking speed reverse

maybe just a semantic argument here
to me BRAKES ON == large diff between FedFunds and 3-mo TBills
they are nearly equal now, therefore no braking is seen

but he needs to do what he can on monetary side of the equation
and he isnt doing enough
he needs to set rates at 2.75% immediately
and announce that in October, it will be back to 3.75%
they never give advance policy warning
that causes confusion in the entire planning process

we at least agree that GreenDumb needs to lower rates

I heard a fine argument about a month ago
in the past, most recoveries have begun and occurred right after the last rate cut
why bother to buy when finance costs are dropping?
so we are in a standstill until rates are no longer expected to become cheaper
the Fed needs to announce they are done, when they are done

/ jim