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To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (7008)	8/12/2001 11:55:17 PM
From: AC Flyer	Read Replies (6) \| Respond to of 74559

So computers are infallible now? You need to get down off your high horse for a moment, DJ. The validity of any global warming prediction is only as good as the quality of the assumptions that were used to set up the model, as I'm sure you know. Long term climate prediction is not a matter of performing a simple trend extrapolation. It requires a non-linear, multi-variate model based on a set of assumptions that can be easily skewed by the politics of the modeler. Right now our best climate prediction models can't give us an accurate 7 day weather forecast, but you are sure they can tell us the temperature 100 years from now? (I know, I know, apples and oranges). Your point of view is colored by long-term social indoctrination and an unreasonable belief in the power of government regulation. I believe that the solution to global warming is the same as the solution to all other human problems - free markets and the invisible hand of capitalism. Global warming will be seriously addressed when the cost of addressing it is lower than the cost of not addressing it. This will happen at some point in the next century. This process will get a significant boost from declining oil production and rising oil prices that will (by the action of the invisible hand) move us away from a fossil fuel-based economic system.