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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sea_biscuit who wrote (15706)8/17/2001 8:31:19 PM
From: Teresa Lo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Well, that was probably appropriate on the way up, and notice now that it's lower, everyone gets used to it and the analysts all think it is going lower still?

I saw Dan Niles on CNBC this aft...saying that no end is in sight. Of course, they were all singing a different tune last year:

2000 MAR 14
"Dell Computer (DELL 54 3/4 +3 1/2): Bear Stearns upgrades from ATTRACTIVE to BUY and raises target from $70 to $80; Banc of America raises to STRONG BUY, and Dan Niles at Robertson Stephens raises from BUY to STRONG BUY, raises price target to $65 citing a reacceleration in business that has followed the problems of last quarter... after the close, it was announced that Dell and Ariba (ARBA 298 -7 3/8) will create a broad B2B e-commerce alliance to provide customers with solutions to lower costs, drive new revenue opportunities and create competitive advantages."
briefing.com

2000 APR 06
"Other semiconductor stocks were also strong. Micron Technologies (MU) climbed 14% to $131 after receiving an endorsement from Robertson Stephens Wall Street Journal All-Star analyst Dan Niles. Niles boosted his rating on the memory-chip maker to Strong Buy from Buy, predicting that a shortage of DRAM chips by year-end will boost prices."
stocksandmoney.com

2001 FEB 13
"This summer, though, the analyst expects the stocks to give all that back, and more -- which is exactly what happened in mid-1996. In his estimation, the stocks could dip as much as 15% below their first-quarter lows. "The stocks will wash out in summer as earnings estimates move to lower, more achievable levels," Niles asserts.

We shall see. We shall also see if Niles is right in naming late July-early August as "a terrific time to buy these stocks." He adds: "That should be the start of the next multiyear upcycle, during which many will appreciate between 100% and 200%."

The Lehman analyst couldn't be clearer when he recommends "not owning any of these stocks" between now and then. He is equally direct when he tells investors that, come August, they should be prepared to "back up the truck."
thestreet.com

T.