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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: donald sew who wrote (16747)	8/24/2001 9:24:48 PM
From: Kip518	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 52237

....lets not also forget that SEPT/OCT is statistically the worse timeframe for the market Don, do you know this from your own research or have you like the rest of us simply accepted this idea as common market wisdom? I ask because Don Hays, who is super bullish right now, had the following in his report this morning. So, here’s another big piece of positive historical patterns. We have been conditioned to believe that October is the hideous month that we have to crawl in our hole and try to avoid. That is based upon several of the big crashes in history occurring in that month. But that is not true. In fact, it is exactly the opposite. When you look at the months of the year and the performance of the S&P 500 in those months during the last ten years (since 1992) you find the following performance. January 1.53% February 0.63% March 1.44% April 1.44% May 0.98% June 1.57% July 0.77% August -0.91% September 1.11% October 1.85% November 1.50% December 1.80% I’m indebted to Jason Trennert of Ed Hyman’s ISI group for this historical comparison. But you can see that August, this month is where the damage has traditionally been done. That actually leads to the next five months with enormous upside bias. haysmarketfocus.com

To: donald sew who wrote (16747)	8/24/2001 9:31:05 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

Analysis of end of Day Closing prices and recommendations in the US Stock Market, or the Den of Thieves & Swindlers This is the most effective list, but validate signals. Results are relative to the SPX and move relative to the SPX - Haim see more data & info including stock charts from this scan at: home.nyc.rr.com and also see Today Charts who are updated every several days Today is 08/24/101 Remember this is a computer scan only S&P Closed 1184.95 TO LATE TO CACH THE MOVE - 3rd Day of BUY's S&P Change 22.850 P/C Ratio VXN Recommendation Price Stoch. RSI RSI RS Change ROC% BUY SIGNAL ON AAPL 18.570 27.871 44 8 24 BUY SIGNAL ON CNC 9.430 9.972 29 1 9 BUY SIGNAL ON CPQ 13.650 16.475 41 9 24 BUY SIGNAL ON DAL 40.900 17.019 43 11 22 BUY SIGNAL ON SNE 47.910 25.856 39 4 5 SELL SIGNAL ON TKR 15.870 78.388 49 5 -3 BUY SIGNAL ON YHOO 14.110 15.829 39 7 1 BUY SIGNAL ON PMTC 7.200 15.729 35 5 0 BUY SIGNAL ON GTW 8.550 9.364 21 0 19 BUY SIGNAL ON AMZN 10.230 22.437 39 6 0 BUY SIGNAL ON WCOM 13.530 21.847 44 7 6 BUY SIGNAL ON TBH 33.800 5.419 25 4 7 BUY SIGNAL ON EMC 17.200 19.821 41 11 0 BUY SIGNAL ON TLAB 13.690 9.165 32 6 1 BUY SIGNAL ON BLDP 22.510 7.435 24 7 3 BUY SIGNAL ON MENT 16.980 18.854 39 3 2 BUY SIGNAL ON TTH 48.910 9.732 39 5 43 BUY SIGNAL ON JDSU 7.660 12.729 37 7 0 BUY SIGNAL ON AMSC 12.550 9.248 33 12 17 BUY SIGNAL ON T 19.510 13.883 43 5 31 BUY SIGNAL ON TERN 4.430 12.435 35 4 35 BUY SIGNAL ON JNPR 17.280 7.433 30 5 1 BUY SIGNAL ON VRSN 47.010 23.016 45 7 3 BUY SIGNAL ON ARBA 2.970 3.880 29 3 0 BUY SIGNAL ON ADCT 4.790 33.968 44 17 0 BUY SIGNAL ON RMBS 5.670 7.759 32 10 4 BUY SIGNAL ON NXTL 12.540 10.554 35 6 2 BUY SIGNAL ON PALM 3.940 9.793 34 7 1 BUY SIGNAL ON SONS 16.460 22.848 38 1 1 BUY SIGNAL ON IIH 7.200 11.602 36 8 1 BUY SIGNAL ON CIEN 18.400 5.172 27 2 1 BUY SIGNAL ON CMRC 3.310 17.829 38 5 0 BUY SIGNAL ON AV 11.240 10.538 32 8 1 BUY SIGNAL ON SEBL 23.530 6.479 32 5 5 BUY SIGNAL ON BRCD 26.280 11.496 39 6 13 BUY SIGNAL ON FTHL 1.734 4.600 15 -2 8

To: donald sew who wrote (16747)	8/24/2001 9:39:39 PM
From: Justa Werkenstiff	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

Don: The Vix is amazing here. Did not think it would make a lower low than the beginning of August. It did with a huge spike down today. And it did not print a higher high this cycle despite the new cycle market lows. I am not sure you will get your Class I sell signal. I don't think you have had the market get to a closing Class I sell signal in some time. I am not sure about playing the your sell signals as one would in a "normal" market. Over the past few weeks -- when playing the long side -- the best rule of thumb has been to take the money and run. I followed that rule today. I was reminded of the MSFT mid-July pop and fade and thought it might be deja vu all over again. Rule there was to sell within two days of the pop as those were the highs. Difference now, of course, is that we are at the end of the month whereas MSFT announcment was in the earlier part of the month. I saw the squeeze potential developing yesterday. I saw it gather momentum this morning. And after I became convinced it would close at the highs, I let it ride to the close. I figured I could get the highs of the day or better in the aftermarket and not have to wait to see if the Friday-Monday rule would hold fast. It worked as I dumped it all there for premium prices. But I must say there were not too many shorts there in panic mode. I may have left some on the table, especially since all of CNBC was saying not to make too much of this rally and that it was probably short covering. When they say anything, I generally think the opposite. But I am looking to short any rally. All-in-all, this is setting up to be one nice shorting opportunity. I wonder what glorious upgrades and market calls we will get at the end of next week.

To: donald sew who wrote (16747)	8/25/2001 7:48:49 AM
From: bruceleroy1_-	Respond to of 52237

CNBC said that the BTK maybe going up in anticipation of some upcoming Biotech conferences. Investors are trying to position for some good news at those conferences and with reference to the "labor day rally", as I recall, everyone and their mother expected one last labor day. So what happened? There was a big nasdaq rally that lasted throughout August into the labor day weekend in anticipation and sure enough the market hit a brick wall the day after labor day. I'm not trying to predict if there will be a rally this year. To quote you "heck if I know"