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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (103473)8/30/2001 8:41:22 PM
From: limtex  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
MW - Actually there are probably nearere +1.3bn in China ...so what if 750m(maybe more) of them earn less than $200 per annum.

Best regards,

L



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (103473)8/31/2001 6:32:02 AM
From: arun gera  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 152472
 
Maurice:

In doing the estimates for 2010 numbers, it is very important to count the data devices/person. I don't think the number of human beings using cell phones for voice is the right number to consider because that number will grow at a slower rate (although as CDMA numbers are just 20 percent of the current installed base, CDMA growth numbers will be better).

It is more important to consider devices per user. Right now in a voice-centric world, it is more like one device per person. I am sure Qualcomm and other telcomm vendors are plotting to embed as many CDMA data devices in common household devices as possible. Mobile IP will be a key part of this strategy.

Some possible devices:

1. Modems for laptops and PDAs.
2. Still cameras with modems.
3. Surveillance cameras.
4. Cordless phone/cell phone combos.
5. Car navigation and communication systems (like Wingcast). I see data use as well as voice use. The cars performance variables can be uploaded periodically to an internet database, that can then guide the owner on repairs, maintenance etc. Won't be surprised if most cars come with a dedicated data link in 2010.

6. Electronic signs: I had suggested this kind of use on the Globalstar board. Strangely enough, a company in New York city is already using this concept on New York City cabs. The electronic signs and advertisements on the top of the taxi cabs are updated in real-time based on the location and time of the day. The electronic signs include GPS and cell phone.
7. Telemetry devices.
8. Pet or animal trackers. Aren't there 10 times as many cattle as human beings?
9. Tracking shipping containers (such as Omnitracs)
10. Human body health monitoring systems that periodically update an internet database on your vital signs.
11. Wireless loud speakers??
12. Wireless network components. PCSTEL will shout 802.11b. But there will be situations where the CDMA device can serve like an ethernet card for a private network.
13. Data monitors on agricultural equipment.
14. Connected Video Game players.
15. IP based radios (such as Kerbango)
16. Electronic books.
17. Connected toys. "Download the latest Barney song into your Child's Barney toy."
18. ???

Arun