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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Saturn V who wrote (143220)9/10/2001 3:47:36 PM
From: Mary Cluney  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
Saturn V, <<<Is Intel stock overpriced ?>>>

If the world is coming to an end, as some are predicting, then Intel and a few other stocks are indeed slightly overpriced.

But suppose, if a giant asteroid hits earth, but does not completely end human civilization, and everything shuts down - pretty much like Germany and Japan after WWII - how long would it take for civilization to get back to current levels of economic development?

With some help, Germany and Japan did it in less than 20 years - I think this time, if a similar type disaster hits us, we should recomver in much less than than 20 years.

There, that is, I believe, the worst case scenario for this economic downturn.

We should be back on our feets within 6 months to 20 years.

WRT Intel, if the world comes to an end, PE ratios will not have much meaning, but in a turn around gross margins should improve significantly.

Mary



To: Saturn V who wrote (143220)9/10/2001 10:58:20 PM
From: Harry Landsiedel  Respond to of 186894
 
Saturn V. Re: "Is Intel stock overpriced ?" Thanx for posting that.

I thought Jubak's was a very good analysis. The $50 price by 2005 does not seem unrealistic and compares favorably with other similar analysis I've seen of trough to peak earnings for Intel.

HL



To: Saturn V who wrote (143220)9/11/2001 3:54:46 AM
From: Amy J  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Hi Saturn V, RE: P/E's

Yes, a short-term, small denominator generates a large P/E. That aspect of the article has a good discussion, though I disagree with his projected calculation on E.

Regards,
Amy J