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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (7231)	10/24/2001 1:02:45 AM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

So US policy DID NOT suddenly change in a vacuum. Arab aggression was financed and spurred on by the Soviets. I might add, that the Yom Kippur war was in revenge for the defeat of the Six Day War. And the escalations that culminated in the Six Day War were started by the Soviet ambassador telling Nasser (quite untruthfully) that the Israelis were massing troops at the Syrian border. The Soviets believed that their proxy states would win and were anxious for the victory.

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (7231)	10/24/2001 1:23:35 AM
From: DavesM	Respond to of 281500

When did the Soviets not try to destabilize the balance of power in the region?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (7231)	10/24/2001 1:57:25 AM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

There's an interesting difference of opinion on the current US-Israeli standoff re Israeli incursions into Area A. The Jerusalem Post and Haaretz report that the US is coming down harder on Israel than Arafat (though both US and Europe are pressing hard on Arafat to really move against terrorism), and Israel will begin withdrawing within 48 hrs. Debka, on the other hand, says all the scolding is for public show; but the real pressure is on Arafat. Just MHO. It will be interesting to see what happens. If Israel does withdraw with only Arafat's promises and arrests of the terrorists (Arafat is a specialist in three-day arrests), then the Jerusalem Post and Haaretz were right and Israel will have lost. If Arafat actually has to do something more drastic, such as close down offices of the terrorist groups or extradite anybody to Israel or a third party, Debka is right and Israel will have won. If the situation stays the same, it's more of a draw, but to Arafat's disadvantage.