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To: AK2004 who wrote (146460)10/31/2001 3:02:15 PM
From: fingolfen  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
* The one area we thought not as positive as it could have been was management's forecast of a 25% cost savings on processors over the next two years as it converts six fabs over to 0.13um processes by the end of 2002, and brings on two 300mm fabs next year. It suggested Q4 was the peak in manufacturing cost. By and large, we would expect at least a 40%-50% savings from a shrink, while the theoretical savings from the conversion from 200mm to 300mm is supposed to be 80%.

I don't know what mathematical analysis scheme they were using, but it is clearly flawed. Again, Intel never promised more than 30% cost reduction from 300mm.



To: AK2004 who wrote (146460)10/31/2001 3:04:21 PM
From: wanna_bmw  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
albert
it's just like you to blame Intel for somebody else's unrealistic expectations.
grasping for straws?
Regards
-BMW



To: AK2004 who wrote (146460)10/31/2001 4:21:33 PM
From: Tenchusatsu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Wow, Albert, all you can give me is one report written by accountants (as opposed to engineers). That's a far cry from "most analysts."

Would you have believed them had this estimate of 80% been released a week ago? I don't think so. Pretending that you expected more is classic ploy of negative spinmeisters, and you have been caught in the act.

Tenchusatsu