To: Lane3 who wrote (3991 ) 11/10/2001 7:50:41 PM From: Alan Smithee Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 14610 Given how contagious the disease is, and the length of time victims are contagious before the onset of symptoms, I think more than "some" would be lost before the problem was recognized. Imagine, a 747, full to capacity (between 416 and 524 passengers) flying from Paris to JFK. Two or three "suicide" infecters who have been infected with smallpox roam the aisles for most of the duration of the flight, sneezing or coughing along the way. At JFK, the passengers disembark. Some stay in New York, but some take flights to Chicago, Detroit, Atlanta, Denver, San Francisco, Los Angeles, etc. Assuming some fly on a 757-300, another 200+ passengers on each flight could be exposed and infected. IMO, most of these people would be very seriously ill before anyone even figured out what had happened, and post-exposure vaccination would be ineffective. What scares me is that very few alive in this country were alive when the disease was a serious threat to public health. This is not chicken pox we're talking about, or mumps, measles, or strep throat. The disease kills a significant percentage of the people that come down with it. During the 17th and 18th centuries, the mortality rate from smallpox in Europe was around 10%, due largely to resistance built up in the population. During the same period, the mortality rate was closer to 90%. By way of example, in 1509, Spain attempted to settle Hispanola for sugar cane plantation. By 1518 every single one of the 2.5 million native aboriginals were dead. The result was that the Spanish imported African slaves to provide labor in the sugar plantations. The Aztec civilization was largely decimated as a result of smallpox, as were significant numbers of the Iroquois and Huron tribes. The point, IMO, is that immunization of the American population for smallpox stopped in 1972. The efficacy of immunizations given prior to that are questionable. The disease is a killer. Is this something we want to take a chance with?