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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (10083)12/3/2001 1:42:29 PM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
and you get a nice return home also ,yes by golly,winter has not arrived yet:) Max



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (10083)12/3/2001 1:43:39 PM
From: Alex MG  Respond to of 99280
 
Welcome back, so you went to Vegas and broke even, better than most.



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (10083)12/3/2001 1:44:26 PM
From: sylvester80  Respond to of 99280
 
Welcome back Zeev. The board missed you. Hope you had fun in Vegas.



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (10083)12/3/2001 1:51:26 PM
From: lh56  Respond to of 99280
 
zeev-welcome back. thread's gotten a little rowdy in your absence. ;-)

some interesting data interpretations. what do you think?

"03-Dec-01
SIA Data : -- Before Open -- Most firms' take on the recently released Oct semi revenues (down 43% y/y) was decisively pessimistic for the semi group. RBC Capital Markets believes SIA data confirms their thesis that Sept was an extraordinary month for the industry and points to an impending bottom forming in early 2002; RBC expects a "U" shaped recovery in 2002, and near-term weakness calls for negative estimate revisions, skewing valuations towards risk. CSFB reiterates that mixed results given further proof to their thesis of a "rolling recovery" with more of a "U-shape" than a "V-shape" recovery implied in stocks' prices; wireless components should be the first to recover, followed by enterprise, and PCs, and lastly telecom given its expected H2 2002 inventory workdown. CSFB continues to look for sell-off in Q401 with the potential for a "mini inventory bubble" in Q101, followed by a pull-back in late Dec or early Q1 2002, giving investors a better buying opportunity. Lehman Brothers also writes that the semi business is clearly not in a V-shaped recovery; please see today's In-Play for commentary. The one exception to the "delayed recovery" trend was SG Cowen: the firm interprets the data as a positive indicator for the sector; using their metric, the foundation for recovery within the next 6 months is growing stronger."

regards,
larry



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (10083)12/3/2001 2:21:17 PM
From: seahorse  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Zeev,

Any forecasts for the rest of the day and the rest of the week?

seahorse