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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Captain Jack who wrote (94108)12/10/2001 7:37:44 PM
From: hlpinout  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 97611
 
****OT****

Hiya Cap,
I have certainly learned the hard way that "investing" is not the proper term anymore for Wall Street. I learned that it is much better to take almost any short term gains when the market turns South (providing you are not short), and run with it. This BS about buy and hold is bunk. All it takes is a brokerage or report or even a rumor to send almost any stock down or move it in a direction with seemingly no news. For example, Oracle that was downgraded according to one analyst and the next week another upgrades it. Or how about a stock that had a conference call or Monday, took a hit on the next two days and then downgraded on the third day by a broker based on Monday's conference call. How about when a stock sells off at the end of the day and you can't figure out why just to read the next day about some very ugly news about that company. I have seen so many examples of stocks spinning their wheels of no fault of their own and also action taken by the big boys leaving the little guy to figure it out. Look how many stocks have gone cyclical over the last two years and essentially gone nowhere but if you had been trading them, could have done very well.
Lessons hard learned IMHO.
Congrats on your BRK. I have to use a drip program to buy a share:')



To: Captain Jack who wrote (94108)12/10/2001 10:54:13 PM
From: hlpinout  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Cap,
I don't know about 50% but...
--
HP seeks new support for Compaq deal
By: Ian Fried
12/10/01 4:20 PM
Source: News.com

With the Hewlett and Packard families lined up against its acquisition of Compaq Computer, Hewlett-Packard must now win over the vast majority of its institutional investors. But first, it needs the backing of a company known as Institutional Shareholder Services.
Rockville, Md.-based Institutional Shareholder Services advises money managers how to vote on proxies and other corporate governing issues. Over the coming weeks, ISS will hear from HP and Compaq, as well as opponents of the deal, before releasing an opinion that may go a long way in determining whether the acquisition goes through.

In many cases, institutional investors simply vote their shares in line with the recommendation from ISS, which is a unit of Thomson Financial. Given the magnitude of this deal, more institutions may make their own decisions using ISS as only a guide. Regardless, the vast majority of such shareholders will receive the ISS opinion, making it critical for HP to win the support of the ISS analysts.

Backing from ISS became essential following the preliminary decision Friday by HP's largest shareholder, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, to oppose the deal. The foundation only controls about 10 percent of HP's shares, but other family members and foundations are also opposed to the deal. David Packard, the Packard Humanities Institute, Walter Hewlett and two other Hewlett sisters, all of whom are against it, control another 8 percent of the shares. This brings total opposition to 18 percent.

Given the size of the "no" vote so far, analysts now say that HP must win the support of two-thirds of institutional investors, assuming that individual investors are roughly split on the merger.

"We view (approval) as highly unlikely, particularly in light of Walter Hewlett's intention to publicly solicit proxies," Banc of America Securities analyst Joel Wagonfeld said in a research note Monday. After the Packard Foundation's vote on Friday, Hewlett said that if HP forced a shareholder vote, he would solicit votes opposing the deal.

Ashok Kumar, an analyst at U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray, said in a report Monday that he expects ISS will come out against the deal, although he did not offer specific reasons why.

However, ISS Senior Analyst Ram Kumar said that ISS has yet to even schedule its meetings with company management or with opponents of the deal. Typically, ISS issues its recommendation about two weeks before a shareholder vote.

"We look forward to the opportunity to meet with them," HP spokeswoman Rebeca Robboy said Monday.

Last Friday, HP's single largest shareholder, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, issued a unanimous vote to go against the merger, a source said.

The foundation's 12-member board includes three daughters of the HP co-founder, former HP chief executive Lewis Platt and former HP chief operating officer Dean Morton.

As Booz Allen & Hamilton laid out the pros and cons of the merger, the recommendations largely fell on the "no" side of the equation, said a source.

"(The foundation board) took advantage of the best advice (they) could get, he said.

The Foundation holds a 10.4 percent stake in the company.

HP has not scheduled a vote yet but has said it hopes to have one in time to close the deal in the first half of next year.

HP has been talking to institutional investors since the merger was announced. However, it will now clearly have to step up its efforts. One option would be to try to convince Compaq to reset the price of the deal, so that HP would own more of the combined company. Such a move could potentially convince the family foundations to change their minds and boost backing from other HP shareholders.

Toni Sacconaghi, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein, said in a research note Monday that he believes the value of Compaq's shares would have to be cut by 20 percent in order for those opposed to the deal to re-evaluate their position.

Robboy said HP would not speculate on such a possibility but added that "the merger we announced on Sept. 3 is the one we intend to bring to a shareholder vote."