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To: ptanner who wrote (65852)12/17/2001 6:18:17 PM
From: TimFRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 275872
 
I posted a link to your post on the unmod thread. Did you post it on the Intel thread?

Tim



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)12/17/2001 7:08:42 PM
From: ptannerRead Replies (3) | Respond to of 275872
 
History & Guidance for SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01

The information below is taken directly from the press releases on the websites from the respective companies.

AMD Contest Categories

3Q01 4Q01 Guidance
(a) Total Revenues $766 +10% or better
(b) CPU Revenues $467 record (>$661)
(c) Flash Revenues $210 no better than flat
(d) Number of CPUs sold 7.7 record (>7.7)
(e) EPS (diluted) -$0.28
(f) Closing Stock Price

Note: All values in millions except EPS
Note: AMD earnings are pro-forma and before one-time charges. The same basis will be used in the contest.
Sources:
amd.com
amd.com
amd.com

Intel Contest Categories

3Q01 4Q01 Guidance
(a) Total Revenues $6,545 $6,700 to $6,900
(b) Intel Arch Group Rev $5,393
(c) Intel Arch Group Profits $1,328
(d) Intel Commun. Group Rev $580
(e) EPS (diluted) $0.10
(f) Closing Stock Price

Note: All values in millions except EPS
Note: Intel earnings are pre-acquisition costs and the same basis will be used in the contest. Yahoo.
Sources:
intel.com
intel.com

Yahoo company research (includes revenue and EPS projections):
biz.yahoo.com
biz.yahoo.com

-PT



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)12/19/2001 1:47:16 AM
From: ptannerRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
* * * SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01 * * *

Entries received to date.

AMD EPS CONTEST

Total CPU Flash CPUs
Entry Team Rev Rev Rev Sold EPS Stock

tgptndr ???? 881 681 200 8.70 0.03 15.00
niceguy767 ???? 907 707 200 8.90 -0.07 23.00
Androo JC 921 616 220 8.00 -0.05 20.00
Jonathon Robinson AMD 925 675 200 8.40 0.01 22.50

Mean 909 670 205 8.50 -0.02 20.13
Median 914 678 200 8.55 -0.02 21.25
# Entries: 4


INTEL EPS CONTEST

Total IAG IAG Comm
Entry Team Rev RevProfit Rev EPS Stock

Androo JC 6280 5610 1350 540 0.11 36.00



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/4/2002 12:13:05 AM
From: ptannerRead Replies (5) | Respond to of 275872
 
* * * SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01 * * *

Entries received to date.

AMD EPS CONTEST

Total CPU Flash CPUs
Entry Team Rev Rev Rev Sold EPS Stock

tgptndr ???? 881 681 200 8.70 0.03 15.00
niceguy767 ???? 907 707 200 8.90 -0.07 23.00
Androo JC 921 616 220 8.00 -0.05 20.00
Jonathon Robinson AMD 925 675 200 8.40 0.01 22.50
peter luc AMD 940 705 195 9.25 0.02 22.00

Mean 915 677 203 8.65 -0.01 20.50
Median 921 681 200 8.70 0.01 22.00
# Entries: 5


INTEL EPS CONTEST

Total IAG IAG Comm
Entry Team Rev Rev Profit Rev EPS Stock

Androo JC 6820 5610 1350 540 0.11 36.00
peter luc AMD 6600 6000 1500 500 0.13 44.00

Mean 6710 5805 1425 520 0.12 40.00
# Entries: 2



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/5/2002 9:52:16 PM
From: ptannerRead Replies (4) | Respond to of 275872
 
* * * SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01 * * *

Entry Deadline: 9:30AM EST, January 14
Entries received to date. rev = revised

Note: The original contest rules said the entry deadline would be market close two days prior to the first earnings release. Since Intel reports on a Tuesday, I set the deadline to before the market open on Monday so it is two full sessions before the results are reported.

AMD EPS CONTEST

Total CPU Flash CPUs
Entry Team Rev Rev Rev Sold EPS Stock

tgptndr ???? 881 681 200 8.70 0.03 15.00
niceguy767 (rev) ???? 977 777 200 8.90 0.07 28.00
Androo JC 921 616 220 8.00 -0.05 20.00
Jonathon Robinson AMD 925 675 200 8.40 0.01 22.50
peter luc (rev) AMD 960 730 190 9.10 0.05 25.00
andreas wonisch AMD 932 672 190 8.40 -0.08 20.00
enzyme ???? 910 705 205 8.45 -0.02 23.50

Mean 929 694 201 8.56 0.00 22.00
Median 925 681 200 8.45 0.01 22.50
# Entries: 7


INTEL EPS CONTEST

Total IAG IAG Comm
Entry Team Rev Rev Profit Rev EPS Stock

Androo JC 6820 5610 1350 540 0.11 36.00
peter luc (rev) AMD 7000 6000 1500 500 0.16 44.00
andreas wonisch AMD 6900 5800 1450 580 0.13 34.00

Mean 6907 5803 1433 540 0.13 38.00
Median 6900 5800 1450 540 0.13 36.00
# Entries: 3



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/7/2002 1:28:47 AM
From: ptannerRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
* * * SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01 * * *
Time Left: 7 days and 8 hours
Entry Deadline: 9:30AM EST, January 14
Entries received to date. rev = revised

AMD EPS CONTEST
                           Total    CPU  Flash   CPUs             
Entry Team Rev Rev Rev Sold EPS Stock

tgptndr SI 881 681 200 8.70 0.03 15.00
niceguy767 (rev) SI 977 777 200 8.90 0.07 28.00
Androo JC 921 616 220 8.00 -0.05 20.00
Jonathon Robinson AMD 925 675 200 8.40 0.01 22.50
peter luc (rev) AMD 960 730 190 9.10 0.05 25.00
andreas wonisch AMD 932 672 190 8.40 -0.08 20.00
enzyme SI 910 705 205 8.45 -0.02 23.50
Dan3 SI 920 680 200 8.50 0.10 18.00
milo morai AMD 935 685 205 8.10 0.02 23.50

Mean 929 691 201 8.51 0.01 21.72
Median 925 681 200 8.45 0.02 22.50
# Entries: 9




INTEL EPS CONTEST
                           Total    IAG    IAG   Comm             
Entry Team Rev Rev Profit Rev EPS Stock

Androo JC 6820 5610 1350 540 0.11 36.00
peter luc (rev) AMD 7000 6000 1500 500 0.16 44.00
andreas wonisch AMD 6900 5800 1450 580 0.13 34.00
Dan3 SI 6600 5600 1500 500 0.08 30.00

Mean 6830 5753 1450 530 0.12 36.00
Median 6860 5705 1475 520 0.12 35.00
# Entries: 4



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/11/2002 3:15:48 AM
From: ptannerRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 275872
 
SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01

Revised 01/11/02
Changes:
(1) added contest deadline of 9:30AM EST January 14;
(2) noted that for the AMD contest Total Revenues likely greater than the sum of the CPU and Flash categories due to other products;
(3) consolidated additional discussion of teams into this message and added that team affiliations may be changed at any time;
(4) consolidated guidance into this message.

Sorry for the long post but I wanted to consolidate all the information in one post.

--------------------

I thought it would be nice to restart the traditional EPS contest. While this round will not be as full featured, there are a couple of additions that I hope will make it more interesting: (1) teams; and (2) adding Intel to the game.

For each company there will be six categories:

AMD Contest Categories
(a) Total Revenues - NOTE: this is (b) + (c) + OTHER
(b) CPU Revenues
(c) Flash Revenues
(d) Number of CPUs sold
(e) EPS (diluted)
(f) Closing stock price day after earnings release.


Intel Contest Categories
(a) Total Revenues
(b) Intel Architecture Group Revenues
(c) Intel Architecture Group Profits
(d) Intel Communications Group Revenues
(e) EPS (diluted)
(f) Closing stock price day after earnings release.


Contest Rules

(1) Each participant may place estimates for AMD and/or Intel on either the Moderated AMD thread, the Intel thread, or by PM. All entries must include all categories to be considered for top individual or team entries. Public posting would be preferred to assist in case an entry is missed. Participants may elect to be a member of a team as follows: AMD, Intel, Other. For "other" you may select another group name but the planned team scoring makes large teams advantageous. Entries without a team designation will be considered "Other." At this time, I am only planning to allow entries from SI participants.

(2) Entries will be dated per the posting time on SI. All entries may be modified once but the date submitted will be changed to the modification time. There will be a small scoring bonus for early entries. If AMD and/or Intel publicly announces a warning on earnings (up or down) then all entries will be allowed one revision even if previously modified.

(3) The last day for entries will be 9:30AM EST on January 14th which is 2 full trading sessions prior to the first earnings announcement.

(4) Individual Scoring: For each of the categories the results will be compared to the actual value reported with an adjustment based on the standard deviation of the entries (abs[difference/stddev]). If entries are all in a small range of values then this category will be weighted lower than if there is a wide range of entries. The best (smallest) score will be for an estimate close to the actual reported value. If a company does not provide a clear value for a category then that category will be eliminated from the scoring. An individual's score will consist of the sum of all six category scores less a bonus for early entries.

(5) Team Scoring: The five lowest individual member scores from each team will be added to determine the team score. Other methods were considered but I wanted to avoid any temptation to "join" the other team as a means to victory. Teams must have at least five individual scores.

There will be individual winners published for each company category. Individual and team winners will be determined for each company and overall.

The contest will begin after the market closes at 4PM EST on Monday, December 17. All entries posted before that time will be disregarded.

I will try to post summaries of entries to date regularly during the contest as the holiday season permits.

Additional Discussion of Teams

Well, I thought it would be interesting to have the pro-AMD folks all make their entries and the pro-Intel folks to do the same for AMD. While the entries would all be as individuals, those "joining" a team would have their best scores combined into a team value. In this way, there would be some friendly competition between those who favor one company over the other. Given the frequently heated exchanges between partisans... I thought it would be an interesting challenge to see which group would provide the best estimates.

And by opening the contest up to Intel entries, this allows for a "home field advantage" for each team. Since many participants may only be familiar with one of the two companies they could either just guess, invest some time in research, or wait and see what the entries look like and then guess for the other company. <g>

Participants do not have to designate a team in which case I will just place them in the "Other" category. The only suggested teams are "AMD" and "Intel" but there could be "Canadians" or "Germans." Teams must have five members to have team score calculated.

Previous EPS contests provided for some competition between sites (SI, JC's, Yahoo, Motley Fool) and I thought I would extend that distinction within the SI group. I also decided not to try and deal with gathering entries from the other sites this time - at least initially. But if there is interest (and it somehow reaches me) I would probably change my mind since the more players the more fun.

NOTE: Since teams require five members I have decided to allow participants to change their team designation at will in order to facilitate the consolidation of entries into teams.

=======================================

History & Guidance for SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01

The information below is taken directly from the press releases on the websites from the respective companies.

AMD Contest Categories

3Q01 4Q01 Guidance
(a) Total Revenues $766 +10% or better
(b) CPU Revenues $467 record (>$661)
(c) Flash Revenues $210 no better than flat
(d) Number of CPUs sold 7.7 record (>7.7)
(e) EPS (diluted) -$0.28
(f) Closing Stock Price

Note: All values in millions except EPS
Note: AMD earnings are pro-forma and before one-time charges. The same basis will be used in the contest.
Sources:
amd.com
amd.com
amd.com

Intel Contest Categories

3Q01 4Q01 Guidance
(a) Total Revenues $6,545 $6,700 to $6,900
(b) Intel Arch Group Rev $5,393
(c) Intel Arch Group Profits $1,328
(d) Intel Commun. Group Rev $580
(e) EPS (diluted) $0.10
(f) Closing Stock Price

Note: All values in millions except EPS
Note: Intel earnings are pre-acquisition costs and the same basis will be used in the contest. Yahoo.
Sources:
intel.com
intel.com

Yahoo company research (includes revenue and EPS projections):
biz.yahoo.com
biz.yahoo.com

-PT



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/11/2002 3:20:41 AM
From: ptannerRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 275872
 
* * * SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01 * * *
Time Left: 3 days and 6 hours
Entry Deadline: 9:30AM EST, January 14
Entries received to date. rev = revised

AMD EPS CONTEST

Total CPU Flash CPUs
Entry Team Rev Rev Rev Sold EPS Stock

tgptndr SI 881 681 200 8.70 0.03 15.00
niceguy767 (rev) SI 977 777 200 8.90 0.07 28.00
Androo JC 921 616 220 8.00 -0.05 20.00
Jonathon Robinson AMD 925 675 200 8.40 0.01 22.50
peter luc (rev) AMD 960 730 190 9.10 0.05 25.00
andreas wonisch AMD 932 672 190 8.40 -0.08 20.00
enzyme SI 910 705 205 8.45 -0.02 23.50
Dan3 SI 920 680 200 8.50 -0.10 18.00
milo morai AMD 935 685 205 8.10 0.02 23.50
fyodor SI 900 600 230 8.00 -0.08 24.00

Mean 926 682 204 8.46 -0.01 21.95
Median 923 681 200 8.43 -0.01 23.00
# Entries: 10
Team SI - Avg 5 918 689 207 8.51 -0.02 21.70


INTEL EPS CONTEST

Total IAG IAG Comm
Entry Team Rev Rev Profit Rev EPS Stock

Androo JC 6820 5610 1350 540 0.11 36.00
peter luc (rev) AMD 7000 6000 1500 500 0.16 44.00
andreas wonisch AMD 6900 5800 1450 580 0.13 34.00
Dan3 SI 6600 5600 1500 500 0.08 30.00

Mean 6830 5753 1450 530 0.12 36.00
Median 6860 5705 1475 520 0.12 35.00
# Entries: 4


Contest Rules & Guidance: Message 16893533



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/11/2002 1:20:42 PM
From: DRBESRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 275872
 
MY GUESSES (subject to many qualifications, not worth wasting any space on here)

Team: AMD MODERATED
Total Rev. $9.70 Billion
CPU Rev. $7.55 Billion
PHLASCH Rev. $2.15 Billion
CPUs Sold 9.20 Million
EPS $0.04
Stock Price $22.50

My greatest concern over the optimism express in these numbers (other than how close they might be to those expressed by the ever overly optimistic NiceGuy767) is that, if true, AMD should have already given updated guidance.

BTY I know how to spell Flash, I just strongly prefer "PHLASCH."

Patient and Warm Regards to ALL (and GOOD LUCK!),

DARBES



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/12/2002 4:23:16 AM
From: ptannerRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
* * * SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01 * * *
Time Left: 2 days and 5 hours
Entry Deadline: 9:30AM EST, January 14
Entries received to date. rev = revised

AMD EPS CONTEST

Total CPU Flash CPUs
Entry Team Rev Rev Rev Sold EPS Stock

tgptndr SI 881 681 200 8.70 0.03 15.00
niceguy767 (rev) SI 977 737 200 8.90 0.07 28.00
Androo JC 921 616 220 8.00 -0.05 20.00
Jonathon Robinson AMD 925 675 200 8.40 0.01 22.50
peter luc (rev) AMD 960 730 190 9.10 0.05 25.00
andreas wonisch AMD 932 672 190 8.40 -0.08 20.00
enzyme SI 910 705 205 8.45 -0.02 23.50
Dan3 SI 920 680 200 8.50 -0.10 18.00
milo morai AMD 935 685 205 8.10 0.02 23.50
fyodor SI 900 600 230 8.00 -0.08 24.00
DRBES AMD 1000 755 215 9.20 0.04 22.50
Reinhard JC 915 698 187 8.65 -0.11 24.00
pgerassi SI 921 696 195 8.70 -0.06 24.50

Mean 931 687 203 8.55 -0.02 22.35
Median 921 685 200 8.50 -0.02 23.50
# Entries: 13
Team AMD - Avg 5 950 703 200 8.64 0.01 22.70
Team SI - Avg 6 918 683 205 8.54 -0.03 22.17


INTEL EPS CONTEST

Total IAG IAG Comm
Entry Team Rev Rev Profit Rev EPS Stock

Androo JC 6820 5610 1350 540 0.11 36.00
peter luc (rev) AMD 7000 6000 1500 500 0.16 44.00
andreas wonisch AMD 6900 5800 1450 580 0.13 34.00
Dan3 SI 6600 5600 1500 500 0.08 30.00
Reinhard JC 6879 5623 1266 575 0.14 42.00
pgerassi SI 6600 5700 1400 500 0.10 32.00

Mean 6800 5722 1411 533 0.12 36.33
Median 6850 5662 1425 520 0.12 35.00
# Entries: 6


Contest Rules & Guidance: Message 16893533



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/14/2002 12:54:51 AM
From: ptannerRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 275872
 
* * * SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01 * * *
Time Left: 0 days and 8 hours
Entry Deadline: 9:30AM EST, January 14
Entries received to date. rev = revised

AMD EPS CONTEST

Total CPU Flash CPUs
Entry Team Rev Rev Rev Sold EPS Stock

tgptndr SI 881 681 200 8.70 0.03 15.00
niceguy767 (rev) SI 977 737 200 8.90 0.07 28.00
Androo JC 921 616 220 8.00 -0.05 20.00
Jonathon Robinson AMD 925 675 200 8.40 0.01 22.50
peter luc (rev) AMD 960 730 190 9.10 0.05 25.00
andreas wonisch AMD 932 672 190 8.40 -0.08 20.00
enzyme SI 910 705 205 8.45 -0.02 23.50
Dan3 SI 920 680 200 8.50 -0.10 18.00
milo morai AMD 935 685 205 8.10 0.02 23.50
fyodor SI 900 600 230 8.00 -0.08 24.00
DRBES AMD 1000 755 215 9.20 0.04 22.50
Reinhard JC 915 698 187 8.65 -0.11 24.00
pgerassi AMD 921 696 195 8.70 -0.06 24.50
jjayxxxx AMD 952 727 212 8.80 0.04 17.50
ptanner SI 945 685 200 8.50 0.02 22.00
John Petzinger AMD 945 681 205 8.20 0.08 22.71
Buzz+ JC 850 0 0 0.00 -0.18 0.00
Martin JC 854 671 183 7.90 -0.14 19.50

Mean 925 688 202 8.50 -0.03 21.89
Median 923 685 200 8.50 -0.01 22.50
# Entries: 18
Team AMD - Avg 8 946 703 202 8.61 0.01 22.28
Team SI - Avg 6 922 681 206 8.51 -0.01 21.75
Team JC - Avg 4 885 662 197 8.18 -0.12 21.17



INTEL EPS CONTEST

Total IAG IAG Comm
Entry Team Rev Rev Profit Rev EPS Stock

Androo JC 6820 5610 1350 540 0.11 36.00
peter luc (rev) AMD 7000 6000 1500 500 0.16 44.00
andreas wonisch AMD 6900 5800 1450 580 0.13 34.00
Dan3 SI 6600 5600 1500 500 0.08 30.00
Reinhard JC 6879 5623 1266 575 0.14 42.00
pgerassi SI 6600 5700 1400 500 0.10 32.00
jjayxxxx AMD 6875 5800 1450 550 0.13 37.00
ptanner SI 6950 5700 1400 590 0.13 36.00
Martin JC 6985 5735 1395 517 0.12 33.20
John Petzinger AMD 6920 5720 1490 590 0.13 35.50

Mean 6853 5729 1420 544 0.12 35.97
Median 6890 5710 1425 545 0.13 35.75
# Entries: 10
Team AMD - Avg 4 6924 5830 1473 555.00 0.14 37.63
Team SI - Avg 3 6717 5667 1433 530.00 0.10 32.67
Team JC - Avg 3 6895 5656 1337 544.00 0.12 37.07


Contest Rules & Guidance: Message 16893533



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/15/2002 1:16:21 AM
From: ptannerRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
* * * SI EPS Contest for AMD & Intel 4Q01 * * *
Final Entries. rev = revised

Note: Team member requirement has been reduced from 5 to 3.

AMD EPS CONTEST

Total CPU Flash CPUs
Entry Team Rev Rev Rev Sold EPS Stock

tgptndr (rev) AMD 932 681 200 8.70 0.03 15.00
niceguy767 (rev) SI 977 737 200 8.90 0.07 28.00
Androo JC 921 616 220 8.00 -0.05 20.00
Jonathon Robinson AMD 925 675 200 8.40 0.01 22.50
peter luc (rev) AMD 960 730 190 9.10 0.05 25.00
andreas wonisch AMD 932 672 190 8.40 -0.08 20.00
enzyme SI 910 705 205 8.45 -0.02 23.50
Dan3 SI 920 680 200 8.50 -0.10 18.00
milo morai AMD 935 685 205 8.10 0.02 23.50
fyodor (rev) SI 900 600 230 8.00 -0.08 24.00
DRBES AMD 1000 755 215 9.20 0.04 22.50
Reinhard JC 915 698 187 8.65 -0.11 24.00
pgerassi AMD 921 696 195 8.70 -0.06 24.50
jjayxxxx SI 952 727 212 8.80 0.04 17.50
ptanner SI 945 685 200 8.50 0.02 22.00
John Petzinger AMD 945 681 205 8.20 0.08 22.71
Buzz+ JC 850 -0.18
Martin JC 854 671 183 7.90 -0.14 19.50
survivin AMD 935 700 200 8.35 0.00 24.00
zofsilence SI 885 685 200 8.30 -0.02 18.00
Erik Corry JC 0.05

Mean 926 688 202 8.48 -0.02 21.80
Median 929 685 200 8.45 0.00 22.50
# Entries: 21
Team AMD - Avg 9 943 697 200 8.57 0.01 22.19
Team SI - Avg 7 927 688 207 8.49 -0.01 21.57
Team JC - Avg 5 885 662 197 8.18 -0.09 21.17


INTEL EPS CONTEST

Total IAG IAG Comm
Entry Team Rev Rev Profit Rev EPS Stock

Androo JC 6820 5610 1350 540 0.11 36.00
peter luc (rev) AMD 7000 6000 1500 500 0.16 44.00
andreas wonisch AMD 6900 5800 1450 580 0.13 34.00
Dan3 SI 6600 5600 1500 500 0.08 30.00
Reinhard JC 6879 5623 1266 575 0.14 42.00
pgerassi SI 6600 5700 1400 500 0.10 32.00
jjayxxxx AMD 6875 5800 1450 550 0.13 37.00
ptanner SI 6950 5700 1400 590 0.13 36.00
Martin JC 6985 5735 1395 517 0.12 33.20
John Petzinger AMD 6920 5720 1490 590 0.13 35.50
Erik Corry JC 0.05

Mean 6853 5729 1420 544 0.12 35.97
Median 6890 5710 1425 545 0.13 35.75
# Entries: 11
Team AMD - Avg 4 6924 5830 1473 555.00 0.14 37.63
Team SI - Avg 3 6717 5667 1433 530.00 0.10 32.67
Team JC - Avg 4 6895 5656 1337 544.00 0.11 37.07


Contest Rules & Guidance: Message 16893533
Note: Team member requirement has been reduced from 5 to 3.



To: ptanner who wrote (65852)1/17/2002 3:13:48 AM
From: ptannerRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 275872
 
*** INTEL EPS Contest Results ***

Congratulations to Andreas Wonisch for his winning entry in the first Intel EPS contest.

The team play was a little thin with Team AMD edging out Team JC with Team SI far behind.

The results below are sorted alphabetically but I will post the top five along with winners in each category in a couple of days. The method of calculating the scores was modified to be relative to the average error of the entries (the same method as used in the contests hosted by Goutama). The early entry bonus was set to a modest 0.5 for entries received on the first day of the contest and reduced linearly to the end.

If there are any errors or questions please let me know.

-PT

INTEL EPS CONTEST

Total IAG IAG Comm
Entry Team Date Rev Rev Profit Rev EPS Stock

andreas wonisch AMD 01/04 6900 5800 1450 580 0.130 34.00
Androo JC 12/19 6820 5610 1350 540 0.110 36.00
Dan3 SI 01/05 6600 5600 1500 500 0.080 30.00
Erik Corry JC 01/14 0 0 0 0 0.050 0.00
jjayxxxx AMD 01/13 6875 5800 1450 550 0.130 37.00
John Petzinger AMD 01/14 6920 5720 1490 590 0.130 35.50
Martin JC 01/13 6985 5735 1395 517 0.120 33.20
peter luc (rev) AMD 01/05 7000 6000 1500 500 0.160 44.00
pgerassi SI 01/11 6600 5700 1400 500 0.100 32.00
ptanner SI 01/13 6950 5700 1400 590 0.130 36.00
Reinhard JC 01/11 0.140
tgptndr (rev) AMD 01/14 6750 5750 1000 550 0.080 34.00

Reported Value 6983 5793 1813 590 0.146 33.71
Mean 6844 5731 1382 545 0.113 35.79
Median 6879 5720 1400 550 0.125 35.50
# Entries: 12
Team AMD - Avg 5 6889 5814 1378 554.00 0.126 36.90
Team SI - Avg 3 6717 5667 1433 530.00 0.103 32.67
Team JC - Avg 4 6895 5656 1337 544.00 0.105 37.07
3Q01 6545 5393 1328 580.00 0.100
4Q01 Guidance 6700 to 6900

DIFFERENCE FROM REPORTED VALUE
Days Total IAG IAG Comm
Entry Team Early Rev Rev Profit Rev EPS Stock

andreas wonisch AMD 10 83 7 363 10 0.016 0.29
Androo JC 26 163 183 463 50 0.036 2.29
Dan3 SI 9 383 193 313 90 0.066 3.71
Erik Corry JC N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.096 N/A
jjayxxxx AMD 1 108 7 363 40 0.016 3.29
John Petzinger AMD 0 63 73 323 0 0.016 1.79
Martin JC 1 2 58 418 73 0.026 0.51
peter luc (rev) AMD 9 17 207 313 90 0.014 10.29
pgerassi SI 3 383 93 413 90 0.046 1.71
ptanner SI 1 33 93 413 0 0.016 2.29
Reinhard JC 3 104 170 547 15 0.006 8.29
tgptndr (rev) AMD 0 233 43 813 40 0.066 0.29

Average Error 143 102 431 45 0.035 3.16

SCORE
Total IAG IAG Comm
Entry Team Bonus Rev Rev Profit Rev EPS Stock Score

andreas wonisch AMD -0.18 0.58 0.07 0.84 0.22 0.45 0.09 2.08
Androo JC -0.46 1.14 1.79 1.07 1.10 1.03 0.72 6.39
Dan3 SI -0.16 2.68 1.88 0.73 1.99 1.89 1.17 10.18
Erik Corry JC N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2.75 N/A N/A
jjayxxxx AMD -0.02 0.76 0.07 0.84 0.88 0.45 1.04 4.02
John Petzinger AMD 0.00 0.44 0.71 0.75 0.00 0.45 0.57 2.92
Martin JC -0.02 0.01 0.57 0.97 1.61 0.74 0.16 4.05
peter luc (rev) AMD -0.16 0.12 2.02 0.73 1.99 0.41 3.26 8.36
pgerassi SI -0.05 2.68 0.91 0.96 1.99 1.32 0.54 8.34
ptanner SI -0.02 0.23 0.91 0.96 0.00 0.45 0.72 3.26
Reinhard JC -0.05 0.73 1.66 1.27 0.33 0.16 2.62 6.72
tgptndr (rev) AMD 0.00 1.63 0.42 1.89 0.88 1.89 0.09 6.80

TEAM RESULTS

Team AMD Total: 9.02
andreas wonisch 2.08
John Petzinger 2.92
jjayxxxx 4.02

Team JC Total: 10.44
Martin 4.05
Androo 6.39
Reinhard 6.72

Team SI Total: 21.77
ptanner 3.26
pgerassi 8.34
Dan3 10.18