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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mystifier4 who wrote (17644)	12/30/2001 9:48:34 AM
From: OldAIMGuy	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 18932

Hi M, We've "Myst" you around here! When I couldn't find any updates a while back, I figured you'd given up on us poor old AIMers! Thank you for the wonderfully complete and well presented graphs. Nice to have some meat and potatoes with the appetizers! In the comparison graph it seemed the yellow line (AIM BTB) was displaced about one period (maybe two) from the time lines of the others. Just curious. It probably wouldn't make any difference overall. If you don't mind, I'll let the folks over on Motley Fool know of this study. They're holding court over there where posting is free. Many read here on SI, but only a few post both places. Thanks again and have a Spock Year! (Live long and prosper!) Tom

To: mystifier4 who wrote (17644)	12/30/2001 11:02:30 AM
From: Steve Grabczyk	Respond to of 18932

Hi stranger! I got all "Mysty" looking at your results! <ggg> Seriously, Very interesting stuff. I'm particularly interested as it relates to the W%r comparative. I'm still cogitating on how to determine Efficient Volatility Indices using that measure. To be also able to tweak AIM settings given that info could also improve results (as you've clearly shown). Is the spreadsheet in Excel? If so, are you interested in sharing? Just let me know via PM and we can go from there. Thanks, Steve

To: mystifier4 who wrote (17644)	12/30/2001 2:34:22 PM
From: LemonHead	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 18932

Hi Myst, nice to see you around camp again. I want to make sure I understand the starting points of your comparisons. I assume that Buy & Hold started fully invested with $10,000. So they began with (and end with) 187.13 shares. Your method starts with 125 shares and ends with 218.17 shares (and $1044.44 in cash). That is an increase of 31.04 shares over B&H (16.6%). If the remaining cash was deployed at the last price of $39.32, it would equate to 26.56 more shares. This would bring your share count to 244.73 for a 30.8% increase over B&H. I may be scratching at this all wrong but I see that as a significant gain for the year 2001. I don't see the data available to make the same comparison to AIM BTB. I know it started with 125 shares and $3320 in reserve. Can you tell me how many shares and how much reserve AIM BTB finished with? One other thing that I'm curious about is choosing Tuesday for your weekly update? Is that like our Friday up in Mystville? :^0) Would the results been much different if you started with your initial buy on that 1st Tuesday of the year and then updated with Friday's closing price for the remainder? TIA Keith

To: mystifier4 who wrote (17644)	12/30/2001 10:01:34 PM
From: Jack Jagernauth	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 18932

Hi Myst, Thanks for sharing with us your AIM tweaked method. I have a question or two. How do you make changes to PC, i.e. +1% in an uptrend and -1% in a downtrend? I am not sure I follow what you mean. If the price is over the 13-Day EMA, you add 1% to PC and leave it alone until the price drops below the 13-Day EMA and then you subtract 1% from PC...is that how it works? Also, when you say you set SAFE at 16 in a downtrend and 0 in an uptrend, are you referring to Buy Safe? Would Sell Safe be just the opposite, i.e., 0 and 16? Thanks, Jack