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To: AllansAlias who wrote (26441)1/2/2002 10:22:00 AM
From: The Freep  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
10:03 ET Economic Data : The ISM (formerly NAPM) index rose to 48.2% in Dec from 44.5% in Nov; consensus was 46.0%; the orders index jumped to 54.9% from 48.8%, which was the best news in this report; market turning up on this better than expected report.

The "ISM"???? Economic dataism is the ism dismalist of all.

the freep



To: AllansAlias who wrote (26441)1/2/2002 10:23:04 AM
From: velociraptor_  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
While I agree to a point, I also think those P/C ratios don't tell the whole story. Basically, they are a ratio of the number of puts and Calls being bought, but does not accurately reflect sentiment. The more accurate assessment would be a dollar weighted P/C ratio because all those Puts being bought may be far out of the money Puts while the Calls could be near or at the money. In this case, even if a large number of Puts are being bought, there is still more money being Put into calls, and those Puts would simply be a hedge since only the cheap ones are being bought.

An analysis of which strike prices the Put and Call volume is going would be telling.



To: AllansAlias who wrote (26441)1/2/2002 10:26:28 AM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
but what about the prior few sessions -- do you discount those because of year-end stuff, lower volume, or what??

Also, how do you count open interest ...

I'm figuring on one more manic push here in Jan before the bear bites back, but suprised that semi-news didn't give them the excuse this morning.