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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46611)1/17/2002 1:21:24 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
Clinton tried to wag the dog? I thought he was too busy shagging one :-|



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46611)1/17/2002 3:21:52 PM
From: Mannie  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
I realize common sense is way too much to ask for, but I like this approach.....

How to stimulate the economy

Thursday, January 17, 2002

SEATTLE POST-INTELLIGENCER EDITORIAL BOARD

Gridlock over the economic stimulus package is highly likely when Congress returns to work next
week.

But there are ways to avoid that and actually do the country some good. However, it requires
statesmanship that so far largely has been lacking.

Despite the national trauma of Sept. 11 and the Afghanistan conflict, the two parties have reverted to
familiar posturing on domestic issues. Inflamed rhetoric and elbowing for political advantage have
eclipsed the need for responsible action.

Republicans accuse Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle of proposing a tax increase. Daschle
accuses President Bush of worsening the recession by cutting taxes. If this level of dialogue
continues, prospects of jump-starting the economy are bleak indeed.

Bush's ill-conceived stimulus proposal to repeal the corporate alternative minimum tax would have
cost the treasury $25.4 billion next year alone. It became the bitter symbol of the economic
divisions that rend both the Congress and the nation even though later the tax break was scaled back
to a mere $1.2 billion.

That proposal is manna from heaven for Democrats, who will work hard to hang this political
albatross around Bush's neck to good effect unless he abandons it.

And abandon it he should, and not just because the Democrats, especially now that the public
justifiably is aroused about the Enron scandal, will skewer him with it. And not just because it gets
in the way of agreement on a stimulus package.

Bush should abandon it because it's not a productive, sure-fire way to stimulate the economy. If
incentives are to be given to business to create jobs, give them with strings attached for future
behavior that has some reasonable assurance of creating those jobs and benefiting the nation. There
is nothing to be gained for politicians but trouble in being perceived by voters to be doling out
freewheeling no strings tax breaks to corporations under cover of national economic emergency.

There is no better way to stimulate the economy, put people to work and give taxpayers genuine,
long-term value for their money than to get going on this nation's massive neglected infrastructure
needs.

There are highways to be expanded and repaired, high-speed train tracks to be laid and railroad
crossings, airports and telecommunications infrastructure to be upgraded, to name just a few
examples.

This is where Republics and Democrats should turn their attention. This is where they should be
able to make common cause and get the country moving again. Some of this is work can be
"incentivized" with tax breaks to help the private sector and the nation move forward.

If tax money is, in effect, to be used to stimulate the economy, it needs to be done in a manner that
has a tangible payoff and truly represents an investment in the nation's future.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46611)1/17/2002 4:13:47 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
Enron Didn't Pay Income Tax 4 of 5 Years

Thursday January 17, 3:46 pm Eastern Time

By Susan Cornwell

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Fallen energy-trading giant Enron did not pay U.S. income taxes in four of five years through 2000, receiving tax refunds totaling close to $400 million in the period, the head of a tax watchdog group said on Thursday.

Robert McIntyre, director of Citizens for Tax Justice, a labor-backed tax research group, said he had analyzed Enron's financial reports for 1996 through 2000, the most recent year for which they were available.

He said he found Enron had used hundreds of subsidiaries in tax-haven countries, as well as deductions for stock options, to avoid paying taxes.

''They made more money after taxes than before taxes,'' McIntire said. Other companies have used similar techniques, he said.

The Citizens for Tax Justice did a similar study in 1998 of half the Fortune 500 companies. ``Out of 250 companies, we found 24 that didn't pay taxes over 3 years,'' McIntire said. ''So that's about 10 percent of them.''

An Enron spokesman had no comment, other than to say that in 2001 the company paid $60 million under the corporate alternative minimum tax.

SENATE FINANCE COMMITTEE PROBE

The Senate Finance Committee is investigating whether Enron has been complying with federal tax laws, said spokesman Mike Siegel.

``Clearly the chairman, (Montana Democrat Sen. Max) Baucus, as well as other members on the committee, are interested in whether Enron had been in compliance with federal tax laws, and to that extent, we are communicating with the proper federal authorities to gather the facts,'' Siegel said.

``Once the facts are known, we will proceed accordingly,'' he added, but said there were no hearings scheduled at this time. The committee is one of more than a half-dozen on Capitol Hill that are investigating various aspects of the Enron collapse.

An IRS spokesman, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the agency could not comment on reports it is looking at Enron's tax filings.

``If we were, we couldn't say so. If we're not, we can't say we're not,'' he said. IRS regulations on taxpayer privacy apply to companies as well as individuals, he said.

Once a Wall Street titan, Enron's stock slid dramatically last fall and it filed for bankruptcy on Dec 2. Its spectacular demise has sparked Capitol Hill inquiries as well as investigations by the Securities and Exchange Commission and a criminal probe by the Justice Department.

HUNDREDS OF SUBSIDIARIES

McIntire said he had found Enron listed 880 subsidiaries in tax haven countries such as the Cayman Islands and Mauritius. ``They list them in fine print in the annual report,'' he said.

In the year 2000, Enron got a tax refund of $278 million, he said. This was the largest of the refunds in the study.

Of the five years he examined, only in 1997 did Enron pay taxes, the records showing a payment of $17 million, McIntire said. Altogether, the tax refunds over the five years added up to $381 million, he said.

McIntire said the company may have benefited from provisions that weakened the corporate alternative minimum tax after 1997.

``That probably had an impact,'' he said. ``Some of the things they were doing aren't covered by the minimum tax, like (deductions) for stock options.''

Before its collapse last fall, Enron led a business lobbying campaign on Capitol Hill to scrap the corporate alternative minimum tax.

Under the first version of the economic stimulus bill that passed the Republican-majority House of Representatives, Enron would have received a $254 million refund. Lobbyists involved said that while Enron favored repealing the alternative minimum tax, it was not pushing for the refund provision.

However the House plan was blocked in the Democrat-majority Senate and did not become law.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46611)1/17/2002 5:23:57 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
The relative value of capital - an interesting interview from Knowledge@Wharton.com with William P. Egan II, a founder and managing general partner of Boston-based Alta Communications – a big private equity firm (@$1 billion under management). Basically - it all comes down to supply and demand...

"At the end of the boom cycle, money had no value. The idea was worth so much more than capital. Frankly, ideas tended to be worth more even than management. That is why you ended up with so many companies that could not succeed being funded. These companies had neither good management nor the function that good management performs – a thoughtful use of capital. So all you ended up with was a bunch of ideas. And most of us in the private equity business were part of this folly...This is not unusual. The same kind of phenomenon went on in the early 1980s when there was a biotech bubble. The difference this time was the unprecedented size of the private equity business and the scale at which things were done. But you can go back and see the same kind of mentality in biotech, or when Lotus 123 was developed and everyone was saying there would be 10,000 successful shrink-wrapped software companies. There have always been these periodic waves of euphoria. It’s what Greenspan called "irrational exuberance," but in a curious way, that is probably what makes capitalism work... (Or as Sec O'Neil put it - the genius of capitalism) The right time to make an investment in an early stage investment is during a downturn. One reason for that is that capital tends to be valued higher so you can get a better deal as an investor. Second, people resources are far more available. A lot of good people are looking for work. And third, in a startup you are not going to get many sales, so in a downturn you don’t care that there aren’t many orders coming around. So you focus on developing opportunities that will surface two or three years from now... I have come to the conclusion after 30 years in this business that management talent is a necessary but not sufficient reason to succeed. Management can never be overvalued, but it can be overestimated. Warren Buffett once said, show me a bad business and a good management and the bad business will prevail every time. So the lesson I have learned from the recent mania is that you may have capital and a talented management team, but if you are fundamentally in a lousy business, you won’t get the kind of results you would in a good business. All businesses aren’t created equal."



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46611)1/18/2002 4:59:42 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Economic forecast for 2002

January 18, 2002 10:00
By Jeff Meredith
i-Street Magazine

CHICAGO - For a moment, 'The Economic Outlook for 2002 and Beyond' had the appearance of a cage match. The Thursday luncheon at the Executives' Club of Chicago found James J. Cramer, markets commentator and co-founder of TheStreet.com, pitted against Wayne D. Angell, chief economist and senior managing director at Bear, Stearns & Co., Inc.

The source of contention? The epitome of broken faith and fallen expectations this year: the Enron debacle.

"Enron is a criminal enterprise. I think it was a giant pump and dump scheme. They pumped the stock up, used reckless forecasts, and bogus revenues. They dumped the stock furiously and when it was over, they locked down the employees and took all their money away," said Cramer, who proceeded in a passionate tirade against insider trading.

"I have never seen a company that set out to ruin themselves and all their employees," replied Angell, who for eight years served as a member of the Board of Governors at the Federal Reserve Bank. "Don't get government in it."

When moderator Terry Savage took an informal poll of the room, attendees overwhelmingly supported the arguments of Cramer and allowed him to proceed.

Earlier, Angell had used the forum as a means of propelling his theory that the government's efforts to reduce the national debt had simply transferred the problem to consumers. He lamented high tax rates as productivity surged between 1995 and 2000, and also took a swipe at Tom Daschle and 'class warfare' as he trumpeted the virtues of tax relief.

When Cramer took to the podium, he joked that Angell remembered the advice, 'Don't get off message.'

A markets commentator for CNBC and co-founder of SmartMoney, Cramer focused his comments on capital spending budgets. Instead of increasing budgets as promised, forecasts were lowered, particularly in the telecommunications arena. Some $2 billion was just sliced off of Intel's capital budget for 2002, for example.

Cramer said there is still a 'hangover from the great telecommunications buildup' and noted that companies like Nextel, Verizon, and SPC are still ratcheting down from last year's lows. He predicted a gloomy outlook in 2002: these budgets will be down another 20 percent off last years' lows.

However, it was not all bad news on Cramer's end - he anticipated a one to three percent growth rate in 2002, and took spirit in how well the retail arena had fared toward the end of year, citing General Motors' success - mainly driven by zero interest finance rates - as an example.

Posing a stark contrast to the verbal sparring of Angell and Cramer, Diane Swonk's remarks quieted and focused the large ballroom audience. Chief economist and senior vice president for Bank One Corporation, Swonk narrowly escaped the destruction of the World Trade Center on 9/11. She took time to talk about the importance of her family in the event's aftermath, and how she openly wept upon returning home - 52 hours after the first plane hit.

Swonk found the current unemployment rate, hovering around 6 percent, discouraging but said of growing up in Detroit, "I've seen a lot more pain than this."

The ever-optimistic Swonk said that inventories are so low that we will see an increase in production in 2002 and that the recovery will come sooner and stronger than many expect.

Although Swonk indicated that "Investment can not be a driver of economic gains," Angell stressed the impact of reduced capital spending.

"This is a jobless recovery that we have ahead" because capital spending has to get going again to have job creation. "The stock market has over-anticipated a "V" recovery that we are not going to have," explained Angell.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (46611)1/18/2002 6:32:49 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 65232
 
A possible smoking gun -- Mr. Lay and insider trading...

Enron's Chief Sold Shares After Receiving Warning Letter

By RICHARD A. OPPEL Jr. and JONATHAN D. GLATER
The New York Times
January 18, 2002


Documents disclosed yesterday indicate that Kenneth L. Lay, the chairman and chief executive of Enron (news/quote), disposed of stock within days of receiving a letter warning of accounting problems at the company.

That letter, from Sherron S. Watkins, a senior employee, ignited an investigation by Enron's outside law firm, which concluded that the accounting issues could be embarrassing. As part of that inquiry, Mr. Lay met with Ms. Watkins.

The documents released yesterday by Congressional investigators were internal memos from Arthur Andersen, Enron's auditor, which the company fired yesterday. The documents not only put Mr. Lay's stock transactions and the Watkins letter on a timeline, but also provide the best map to date of what Andersen officials considered doing about Enron's accounting.

In Houston, investigators continued to interview Enron executives and to press for more information on Enron's collapse and Andersen's role, including the destruction of documents.

One memo released by investigators revealed that as long ago as February, Andersen workers considered dropping Enron as a client because of concerns about the disclosure of off-balance-sheet debts.

Enron's sudden collapse last fall and the resulting criminal and civil investigations revolve around Enron's transactions with partnerships formed by Andrew S. Fastow, Enron's former chief financial officer. Mr. Fastow was ousted in late October as investors grew concerned about the partnerships, among them LJM1 and LJM2. Enron subsequently disclosed that Mr. Fastow made more than $30 million off the deals.

An e-mail message dated Feb. 6, 2001, released by investigators, showed that Andersen partners discussed whether to consolidate one of the partnership's financial results with Enron's, and it discussed potential conflicts of interest confronting Mr. Fastow.

Yesterday, Andersen issued a statement saying that the deliberations described by the memo were routine and that nothing "indicated that any illegal actions or improper accounting was suspected."

The firm also acknowledged that senior partners with Andersen in Chicago, where the accounting firm has its headquarters, were involved in the February discussions and held conference calls with the firm's Houston office, which oversaw the Enron account. An Andersen spokesman said it was not unusual for senior partners to be involved in such meetings about clients of Enron's size and complexity.

Meanwhile, Congressional investigators have also been told that by September, officials from the Chicago office had joined a review team of Andersen auditors in Houston analyzing Enron's dealings with the partnerships in the wake of Ms. Watkins's letter.

On "Moneyline" on CNN last night, Andersen's chief executive, Joseph F. Berardino, said he had been meeting with the firm's partners, other employees and clients to try to reassure them about the firm's prospects. "We will do what great companies have done: learn from this experience," he said. "Our people are very, very confident that we will move forward."

Until yesterday, it had not been clear just when Ms. Watkins wrote her letter warning of accounting problems or when Mr. Lay received it. But her lawyer, Philip Hilder, said in an interview yesterday that the letter was written on Aug. 15, and one of the newly disclosed Andersen memos obtained by Congressional investigators indicates that her meeting with Mr. Lay had been scheduled for Aug. 22 and the scheduling had been done by Aug. 20.

It was on Aug. 20 and Aug. 21 that Mr. Lay exercised options on 93,620 shares of stock for $2 million. At the time, the shares were worth $3.5 million. Mr. Lay did not report selling the stock, but a lawyer for Enron disclosed earlier this week that some shares had been used to repay a previously undisclosed loan from Enron. Enron has declined to discuss details of the repayment, but it seems likely that the shares purchased then were used to repay the loan. Had Mr. Lay not planned to use the shares for that purpose, there would have been no apparent reason to exercise the options then.

Under rules of the Securities and Exchange Commission, corporate officials are required to disclose sales of their company's stock by the tenth day of the month after the sale. But there is an exception when the shares are surrendered to the company to repay a loan. Disclosures of such transactions can be delayed until 45 days after the company's fiscal year ends. For Enron, that will be Feb. 14.

As Mr. Lay was apparently reducing his own stake in Enron, he was sounding optimistic in public. "As I mentioned at the employee meeting, one of my highest priorities is to restore investor confidence in Enron," Mr. Lay wrote in an e-mail message to employees dated Aug. 21. "This should result in a significantly higher stock price."

An Enron spokesman said last night that Mr. Lay "exercised the options to hold those shares," but that he did not know whether those "particular" shares had then been used to repay a company loan.

Congressional investigators have learned this week that some Enron executives, concerned about the company's finances, sought legal counsel on their own from lawyers outside the company before the financial disclosures last fall that ultimately led to Enron's bankruptcy in December.

Last night, Salon.com (news/quote) reported that an Enron corporate lawyer, Jordan Mintz, last summer hired a New York law firm, Fried Frank Harris Shriver & Jacobson, to take another look at the company's financial structure. Fried Frank, where the S.E.C. chairman, Harvey L. Pitt, worked until last fall, recommended that Enron end its deals with the partnerships. There was no response to a message left last night at Mr. Mintz's home in Houston.

The investigation by the Houston law firm of Vinson & Elkins, a result of Ms. Watkins's letter, concluded that Enron had done nothing wrong in setting up the partnerships but also said that there was a serious risk of adverse publicity and litigation for the company.

(Page 2 of 2)

In Houston yesterday, investigators of the House Energy and Commerce Committee interviewed Richard Buy, Enron's chief risk officer, among other executives. On Friday they plan to interview Richard Causey, the company's chief accounting officer. Investigators then plan to conduct interviews across the country about document destruction at Andersen. Investigators have also started to receive reconstructed versions of some of the e-mail messages and electronic documents that were destroyed by the accounting firm from September to November.

On Wednesday, investigators from the committee spent more than four hours interviewing David B. Duncan, the lead Andersen partner in charge of auditing Enron, who was fired earlier this week after the firm said he oversaw document destruction at Andersen's Houston office despite a regulatory investigation.

Mr. Duncan maintained that he was only following a document-destruction policy re-emphasized in an Oct. 12 memo from an Andersen lawyer, according to a person close to the case. He was asked by investigators whether "it was usual in your career for people to talk to you about the document-retention policy," this person said. "He said it's not something happens all the time."

Mr. Duncan also stated that by September, Andersen executives in Chicago were having frequent phone calls with auditors in Houston re-examining Enron's transactions with the partnerships, this person said.

The internal Andersen documents paint a complicated picture of a firm where accountants were struggling to evaluate the risks posed by Enron's aggressive approach to accounting. The Andersen executives also worried that the fees received from Enron could appear to compromise their objectivity.

"We arbitrarily discussed that it would not be unforeseeable that fees could reach a $100 million per-year amount considering the multidisciplinary services being provided," wrote Michael D. Jones, in Andersen's Houston office. "Such amount did not trouble the participants so long as the nature of the services was not an issue."

In a statement yesterday, Andersen said that "discussion about the potential that fees could rise to as much as $100 million was not in the context of the firm's desire to grow revenues."

"Rather," it continued, "the discussion related to concerns about the possibility that the size of the fees could be misperceived as affecting independence."

But Mr. Jones's e-mail message also suggested that Andersen's accountants consider whether the LJM partnerships should be treated as a separate entity for accounting purposes. That suggestion makes clear that nearly a year ago Enron's auditors questioned whether unreported transactions between the company and entities like LJM might be improperly characterized in its financial statements.

Mr. Jones's e-mail message also proposed that a special committee of Enron's board be created to "review the fairness of LJM transactions."