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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Don Lloyd who wrote (13870)1/24/2002 1:09:07 PM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
>>the boom must end when credit growth ceases<<

OK as far as it goes, but it doesn't go far enough.

Must a boom be followed by a bust? I'll concede the point if you are talking about ordinary business cycles.

Macroeconomic collapse is something different from an ordinary business cycle.

The strong US economy in the 1920's was not, in general, a bubble, although some sectors probably were.

Similarly, the strong US economy in the 1990's was not, in general, a bubble, although there probably was a bubble in certain sectors. Telecom is probably one.