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To: Warpfactor who wrote (12359)2/10/2002 7:38:08 AM
From: Justa Werkenstiff  Respond to of 23153
 
Warp: Thanks for your thoughts. I don't agree with them but you make a valid argument.

Re: "The first breach of the ARMS Index (in a multiple set) carries the baggage. For that matter, should ARMS top 1.5 in this next week (currently 1.36), it would still be connected with the same selling wave."

Might be but such a position presents you with the problem of distinguishing between one wave of selling and two. I don't think it necessarily that simple although your argument for a six day difference in signals carries much more weight than a difference of, say, twenty days or greater.



To: Warpfactor who wrote (12359)2/10/2002 4:50:00 PM
From: chowder  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23153
 
Warp, in looking at the 30 minute chart of the NASDAQ from Friday, notice the surge late in the afternoon.

stockcharts.com[h,a]faclynay[pb200!b9!b50!b36!b18!f][iut!Ub14!Uk14]&pref=G

This surge wasn't accompanied by any specific news and we know it had nothing to do with earnings reports because the surge was late afternoon.

My guess is that after 5 straight days of heading down, and going in the weekend, we probably witnessed a lot of short covering.

Absent any news breaking events, I look for the NAZ to continue down towards the 1750ish area as I've mentioned before. We need a couple of days of the bulls selling out of frustration should Friday's action not be followed up on Monday.

dabum



To: Warpfactor who wrote (12359)2/10/2002 9:07:37 PM
From: rolatzi  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 23153
 
Warp, What is the symbol for the ARMS. I follow the VIX but haven't followed ARMS
Thanks,
Ro