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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Nancy who wrote (30066)2/13/2002 9:13:21 PM
From: orkrious  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
i think you need to compare put and call with same distance from current price

I agree completely. So how do they get AMAT down to its Max Pain of 45 by Friday?

The same goes for KLAC at 55.

ork



To: Nancy who wrote (30066)2/13/2002 10:16:32 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
That could be another reason why IQAUTO is WRONG.
I do not look at current value.
I look at value that "will be".

As we approach my max pain targets, perhaps IQUATO more closely agrees with me.

As for EBAY (my initial call was 60)
I do not know if there were options bought or sold in the meantime that would skew things, but I did revise it to 65.
Today, 60 seemed more correct. I make mistakes, perhaps I screwed up the revision.

I do know that when I looked tonight 60 seemed to be it on EBAY. Figuring out max pain on Wed before expiry, however is TOTALLY useless.

One must decide about 7-10 days prior to that to take the best advantage. This time, it was last Friday, when we made the biggest move. From 35 to 36 on the Q's was a big move.
In two more days we chopped to 37.
Anyone who bought the Feb 34's or 35's made out quite OK.

Somewhat minor volume of options on EBAY makes the results much more random.

QQQ INTC SUNW CSCO all extremely heavily optioned, and all are sitting within cents not dollars of max pain as I type.

M