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To: Moominoid who wrote (31281)2/15/2002 10:36:16 AM
From: velociraptor_  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
I agree with your C wave for rhe Nasdaq, but I doubt we make it to 3000. There's no rule that says a retrace has to be at least 38%. The japan nikkei is probably the best comparison to the Nasdaq interms of chart patterns, and that index only barely made a 38% retrace which took over 4 years to do after it hit the first major bottom at 15,000. The problem though is that the Nasdaq was even more overvalued at it's peak than the Nikkei was.

A 0.23% retrace is also a fib retrace and the index will be lucky to see that for a while.



To: Moominoid who wrote (31281)2/15/2002 10:41:23 AM
From: exp  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
David: I know very little about e-waves so two questions: (1) has anyone done a statistical (scientific) analysis of e-wave forecasts? (2) how do you use e-wave forecasts in your trading, do you position or swing trade equities or holders (market indices)?



To: Moominoid who wrote (31281)2/15/2002 10:58:38 AM
From: exp  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
David: 3/00 to 4/01 38% retrace=2673 23% retrace=2167 NDX. If Velo is right, NDX 2167 is all we'll get. Yet I doubt we'll get even that in 02 (not based on e-waves just on valuations/economic situation etc.)