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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Neeka who wrote (113495)2/16/2002 7:26:34 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
 
<I am waiting for the N300 to come into my local store so that I can upgrade another phone. I am ashamed to say that I held on to my last phone for over four years. >

This puts a 'use by' date on you.

Age Group --- Use and replacement cycle in a couple of years.

0 - 5 = gpsOne monitor around their wrist.
5 - 10 = cheap gpsOne talking-only phone.
10 - 15 = replacement by Mum and Dad after family fights [Xmas - birthday].
15 - 20 = cellphone fashion mania with replacements every 6 months. Multiple phones. Family wars between stingy fathers and crazed daughters with mothers in the middle tyring to hold the family together.
20 - 25 = 6 month replacements, calming down, multiple phones.
25 - 30 = 12 month upgrade cycle, various devices.
30 - 35 = 18 month ugrade
35 - 40 = 2 year upgrade
40 - 50 = 2.5 year upgrade
50 - 60 = 3 year upgrade [you have exceeded your replacement cycle, hence the guilty feelings and thinking you are falling behind - you'll get relief with the upgrade. Then again, maybe you are a REALLY backward 40 - 50 yr old]
60 - 70 = just got their first cellphone
70 - 80 = thinking about it
80+ = can't hear the damn thing...

Estimates only - individuals may vary.

The cellphone culture is taking over all age groups [as the older ones die off and the cellphone culture ages]. 100s of millions of people do not remember life without a computer. 10s of millions don't remember life without cyberspace. It's a decade since cellphones became common. In 10 years, 100s of millions of people will not remember life without cellphones.

When cyberspace is available, the family wars will become intense as new devices are demanded. Divorce, domestic violence, running away from home, social mayhem becomes endemic. Nobody will be seen dead [under the age of 25] without the latest and greatest CDMA cyberspace devices. PCSTEL is wrong - there is a huge market and people will pay with their lives in the war zone [mostly fathers]. GSM, GPRS etc will die quickly [faster than analogue, which could at least do a similar service to digital].

Mqurice