To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (19092 ) 2/17/2002 1:47:43 AM From: Nadine Carroll Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 281500 Mall attack seen as part of Arafat's plan By Herb Keinon JERUSALEM (February 17) - Last night's suicide bombing is part of Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat's efforts to escalate the violence and provoke a massive Israeli response that would bring about international intervention, a senior government official said last night. Last night Prime Minister Ariel Sharon held security consultations by phone following the marked escalation in violence over the weekend. The official, a senior source in the Prime Minister's Office, said the terror attack in Karnei Shomron cannot be seen as an isolated incident, but rather part of a burst of attacks in the last few days, including the attack on the Merkava tank in Gaza on Thursday, and the firing of Kassam-2 rockets yesterday. "No doubt Arafat has a premeditated plan for escalation through a number of different methods - suicide bombings, rockets, attacks on tanks," the official said. "Each success leads to additional attacks." The source said Arafat's overall strategy is to bring about total chaos, which he thinks will bring about international intervention and force Israel to change its policies. The dilemma facing the government, the source said, is to prevent the terrorist attacks without giving Arafat the escalation he wants. Moreover, diplomatic officials have said in recent days the US is interested in Israel doing what it can to avoid an all-out escalation so as not to complicate Washington's own plans for the next stage in its war against terror. The senior official in the Prime Minister's Office said the weekly cabinet meeting today will likely discuss various tactical changes to confront the deteriorating situation. The official said that, while a few weeks ago the number of violent incidents had dropped to five a day, now the number is up to about 30 a day. The cabinet meeting is scheduled to be followed by consultations between Sharon and senior security officials to discuss the IDF's immediate plan of action. This morning's cabinet meeting will mark Sharon's first return to his Jerusalem office since falling ill during his trip to the US last week. Last Sunday's cabinet meeting was cancelled because Sharon was en route from the US, and another meeting was not scheduled during the week because of his illness. Even before last night's bombing, Foreign Minister Shimon Peres said he would not bring his plan drawn up with Palestinian Legislative Council Speaker Ahmed Qurei to the cabinet until he feels he has widespread support inside the government. "I want to see if I can get a consensus inside the government," Peres said of the plan that calls for a cease-fire, dismantling of the terror infrastructure, and then establishment of a Palestinian state on land held by the Palestinians within eight weeks. After this, the two sides would negotiate a final-status agreement. "I am not interested in a discussion and a vote," Peres said after meeting with visiting German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer on Friday. "I would like to see a vote reflecting a majority, and not a decision marred in controversy." Fischer, whose visit was overshadowed by the violence of the last three days, said the Peres-Qurei plan is "very good" and should be "studied very carefully." Meanwhile, according to an internal Foreign Ministry document, the Palestinians have been encouraged recently by what they view as cracks in the Israeli consensus, evident in the reserve soldiers' letter refusing to serve in the territories, and by a renewal of demonstrations by the Left. The document also states the Palestinian leadership believes Arafat's recent letter to US President George W. Bush has succeeded to a certain extent in putting the Karine A incident behind them. According to the document, Arafat feels he enjoys a degree of "immunity," since the US is opposed to any action to harm him or to topple the PA. jpost.com