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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ajtj99 who wrote (33723)	2/26/2002 4:39:12 PM
From: TREND1	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99280

aj you wrote Larry, if you can find me a post WWII market bubble like we had in the Nasdaq I'd really like to see it. Japan comes to mind, but that's a bit extreme. I think 2-years for a bubble is not enough. I think 6-failed bear rallies will do it. If memory serves, that's what it took in 1929-1932. We're in the process of finishing #4, so I think we've got 2-more drops and 2-more failed rallies to go yet in this process. Maybe the spring rally and the fall rally will be the last failed rallies, then we get the genuine McCoy in late 2003 answer: Come on ! Are you going to let a Sep 2001-Dec 2001 rally past you by ??? Larry Dudash PS: Maybe you better take a look at those gains again(g) Subject 52398

To: ajtj99 who wrote (33723)	2/26/2002 6:32:40 PM
From: exp	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

Ajtj, I find myself in 100% agreement with your market opinions. Does it mean I am getting better at this game?

To: ajtj99 who wrote (33723)	2/27/2002 4:55:01 AM
From: Psycho-Social	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

Larry, if you can find me a post WWII market bubble like we had in the Nasdaq I'd really like to see it. The most apt comparison to the recent bubble was about 38 to 40 yrs earlier. Both were/are caused by persistently positive demographics - a lengthy period of years where a much higher # of people were entering their 40s as compared with a smaller # of people retiring. We're in a stage that's comparable to about 38 years ago, i.e. 1964, so the DJIA and S&P 500 will probably make new highs before the secular bear phase takes over.